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Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins Free Pick 04/18/18

David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

The Cleveland Indians will be taking on their divisional rival Minnesota Twins at Hiram Bithorn Stadium. SportsTime Ohio will be showing the matchup and the game will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins Odds

Minnesota (+110) is the underdog against Cleveland (-120) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total sit at +110 for the under and -130 for the over. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at Indians -1.5 runs (+125) and Twins 1.5 runs (-145).

The Twins are 7-5 SU and 9-2 ATS. The team’s gained 3.5 units for moneyline bettors and 7.2 units against the spread (ATS). The Indians are 9-6 SU and have gone 5-9 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 1.4 units for gamblers taking the moneyline over the early part of the year and 5.0 units ATS.

Minnesota games have had an over/under record of 4-7 so far in 2018. Cleveland has an over/under record of 5-9.

Carlos Carrasco (3-0, 3.48 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Indians. The right-handed Carrasco recorded 226 strikeouts over 200 innings last year (32 starts) and finished the season 18-6 overall with a 3.29 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. He made three starts against Minnesota in 2017 and put together a 3-0 record against the Twins with a 0.92 ERA and 30 strikeouts.

The Twinkies are rolling with righty Jose Berrios (2-1, 2.18 ERA) as their starter. Berrios recorded 139 strikeouts in 145 innings last year with 48 walks, while finishing the season 14-8 overall with a 3.89 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP.

Minnesota’s pitching staff has given up 3.6 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starters have a 3.29 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.61 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In two games against AL Central foes, Twins starters have an ERA of 3.00 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.00.

The Minnesota hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 2.5 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .221/.328/.331 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Joe Mauer and second baseman Brian Dozier have led the Twins’ batters this year. Mauer is slashing .378/.531/.486 with 14 hits, six RBIs and six runs scored, and Dozier’s line is .300/.386/.600 with 15 hits, seven RBIs and 12 runs scored.

For the visiting squad, Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 3.1 runs per game and its starters own a 2.94 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 8.15 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.12, along with a WHIP of 1.05.

Indians hitters have slashed .208/.284/.355 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Third baseman Jose Ramirez and shortstop Francisco Lindor have led Cleveland’s offense. Ramirez is slashing .200/.323/.418 with 11 hits, eight RBIs and seven runs scored, while Lindor (.238/.294/.413) is up to 15 hits, two homers, seven RBIs and 10 runs scored.

Compared to his total season slash line of .273/.337/.505, Lindor didn’t perform especially well against righties on the road last season, maintaining a slash line of just .220/.270/.439 across 241 such plate appearances.

The Indians have lost 3.9 units and are 4-5 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in four of those games, as opposed to five that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Twins have netted 0.9 units and are 7-2 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in four of those games, compared to five that went under the total.

Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in only two of Cleveland’s last seven games.

The Indians have won six of their last seven games SU.

Cleveland fielders have committed six errors over their last five games, compared to three errors for Minnesota over its last five.

The Indians have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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