The Cleveland Indians will face off against their divisional rival Minnesota Twins at Target Field. The matchup will get underway at 2:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to SportsTime Ohio.
Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins Odds
Vegas has listed Minnesota (+110) as the underdog to Cleveland (-120). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds listed at -125 for over 9 runs and +105 for under 9. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at +125 for betting the Indians -1.5 runs and -145 for the Twins +1.5 runs.
The Indians have gone 30-27 SU this year and are 25-31 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.9 units for moneyline bettors and 9.7 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 24-30 SU and 31-22 ATS. The team’s lost 8.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 7.0 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Twins games have an over/under record of 26-26-1 so far in 2018. Cleveland has been a decent over bet with a total record of 32-22-2.
Right-hander Mike Clevinger is projected to start for the visiting Indians. Clevinger is 4-2 with a 3.14 ERA and 61 strikeouts. He has yet to face Minnesota this year, but he did make two starts against the Twins in 2017, compiling a 1-2 record against them with a 4.05 ERA and 16 strikeouts.
The Twins will put the ball in the right hand of Kyle Gibson (1-3, 3.57 ERA, 1.25 WHIP), who has 66 strikeouts and 28 walks. Gibson made four starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 0-3 record in 2017, posting a 0-3 record with a 4.50 ERA and 10 strikeouts.
Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.58 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 8.77 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.92, along with a K/9 of 8.94.
Indians hitters have slashed .255/.325/.443 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez continue to lead Cleveland’s hitters. Lindor is slashing .309/.381/.572 with 14 home runs, 35 RBIs, 44 runs and six stolen bases, while Ramirez (.301/.395/.630) has produced 18 homers, 41 RBIs, 41 runs and seven stolen bases.
For the home team, Minnesota’s pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.29 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.23 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 16 games against divisional foes, Twins starters have an ERA of 4.12 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.24.
Minnesota’s offense has put up 4.3 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .253/.341/.452 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Twins’ batters have been led by left fielder Eddie Rosario and second baseman Brian Dozier. Rosario is slashing .310/.347/.531 with 10 home runs, 36 RBIs, 33 runs and five stolen bases, and Dozier’s line sits at .241/.313/.420 with eight homers, 23 RBIs and 34 runs.
Compared to his total season slash line of .290/.328/.507, Rosario seemed to enjoy hitting righty pitching at home in 2017, slashing .351/.402/.733 over 209 such plate appearances.
The Indians have lost 7.6 units and are 16-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 21 of those games, as opposed to 14 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 6.7 units and are 22-17 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 21 of those games, compared to 17 that went under.
Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Minnesota has recorded 20.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.0 over its last five.
The Indians have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
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