The Cleveland Indians will be squaring off against their divisional rival Minnesota Twins at Target Field. The game gets underway 8:10 p.m. ET and SportsTime Ohio will be airing the matchup.
Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Cleveland (-115) as the favorite over Minnesota (+105). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on either the over or the under for -110. The game’s current runline odds sit at +130 for betting the Indians -1.5 runs and -150 for the Twins +1.5.
The Indians have gone 30-25 SU this year and are 25-29 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 7.7 units ATS. The Twins, on the other hand, are 22-30 SU and 29-22 ATS. They’ve lost 8.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 5.0 units ATS.
Twins games have an over/under record of 24-26-1 so far in 2018. Cleveland has been a decent over bet with a total record of 30-22-2.
Carlos Carrasco is getting the nod for Cleveland. The right-handed Carrasco is 6-3 with a 3.98 ERA and 71 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Minnesota this year (three starts).
The Twins are turning to righty Jose Berrios (5-5, 3.67 ERA), who has 67 strikeouts and 13 walks as well as a WHIP of 0.95. Berrios is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Cleveland this year.
Minnesota’s pitching staff has yielded 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.31, a WHIP of 1.33 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 4.36 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 14 divisional games, Twins starters have an ERA of 4.17 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.48.
The Minnesota offense is putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .243/.325/.402 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Twins’ batters have been led by left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar. Rosario is hitting .308/.333/.519 with nine home runs, 33 RBIs, 32 runs and five stolen bases, and Escobar’s line is .267/.324/.492 with eight homers, 26 RBIs and 27 runs scored.
Rosario performed well against right-handed pitchers at home last year. Across 209 such plate appearances, he slashed .351/.402/.733 (compared to his total season line of .290/.328/.507).
For the visiting squad, Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.45 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 8.67 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.13, along with a K-per-9 of 8.92.
The Indians offense has slashed .257/.326/.447 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 8.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (5-0 SU).
Cleveland’s offense has been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez, who collectively have blasted 32 home runs. Lindor is slashing .311/.383/.579 with 14 home runs, 34 RBIs, 44 runs and six stolen bases, while Ramirez (.302/.393/.637) has produced 18 homers, 41 RBIs, 40 runs and seven steals.
Maintaining a slash line of just .220/.270/.439 across 241 such plate appearances, Lindor did not perform especially well against righty pitching on the road last year (compared to his overall season slash line of .273/.337/.505).
The Indians have lost 7.3 units and are 16-19 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 6.8 units and are 20-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 19 of those games, as opposed to 17 that’ve cashed the under.
Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in zero of Cleveland’s last seven games.
The Twins have lost seven of their last eight games SU.
Cleveland has posted 28.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 34.8 over its last five.
The Indians have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
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