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Cleveland Indians vs. New York Yankees Free Pick 05/04/18

Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

The Cleveland Indians are making a road trip to Bronx to face the Yankees at Yankee Stadium. SportsTime Ohio will televise this AL matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

Cleveland Indians at New York Yankees Odds

Oddsmakers are listing New York (-205) as the favorite over Cleveland (+187). The total sits at 9.5 runs and bettors can wager on either the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at Indians +1.5 runs (-115) and Yankees -1.5 runs (-105).

Indians vs Yankees

The Indians are 17-14 SU and are 11-18 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.4 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 8.4 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in all seven of them. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 21-10 SU and 17-13 ATS. They’ve gained 4.7 units for moneyline bettors and 2.8 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven.

New York games have an over/under record of 17-12-1 so far in 2018. The Indians have an over/under record of 14-15.

Josh Tomlin will get the start for the visiting Indians. The right-handed Tomlin is 0-4 with a 9.16 ERA and 10 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Yankees this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Yankees will put the ball in the left hand of CC Sabathia (2-0, 1.71 ERA), who has 16 punchouts and five walks this season as well as a 0.95 WHIP. Sabathia did not record a start against the Indians in 2017.

New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 3.58 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.15, a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 12.7.

The New York offense is putting up 5.7 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .190/.250/.319 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Shortstop Didi Gregorius and outfielder Aaron Judge have led the Yankees’ offense this year. Gregorius is slashing .333/.418/.712 with 10 home runs, 30 RBIs and 27 runs scored, while Judge’s line is .298/.426/.544 with seven homers, 19 RBIs and 25 runs scored.

Compared to his total season slash line of .284/.422/.627, Judge enjoyed hitting against righties at home in 2017, hitting .318/.424/.771 across 257 plate appearances.

In the other dugout, Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.52 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 8.26 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.00, along with a WHIP of 1.08 and a K/9 of 9.20.

Indians hitters have slashed .246/.317/.424 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 7.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 9.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Cleveland’s offense has been led by third baseman Jose Ramirez and shortstop Francisco Lindor. Ramirez is slashing .277/.372/.538 with eight home runs, 19 RBIs and 19 runs scored, while Lindor is hitting .278/.347/.496 with seven homers, 18 RBIs, 24 runs and five steals.

Maintaining a slash line of .356/.397/.695 across 126 such plate appearances, Ramirez seemed to enjoy hitting lefties on the road last year (compared to his total season slash line of .318/.374/.583).

The Indians have gained 3.4 units and are 4-6 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 0.8 units and are 11-9 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to seven that’ve cashed the under.

Cleveland Indians at New York Yankees Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The Yankees have won 12 of their last 13 games SU.

Cleveland has posted 29.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 38.2 over its last five.

The Indians have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 12 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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