Runs may be hard to come by in this one as Trevor Bauer (5-2, 2.94 ERA) and the Cleveland Indians (27-30) go up against Roenis Elias (3-3, 2.79 ERA) and the Seattle Mariners (26-32) in the second of a three-game series at Progressive Field. The Mariners won the last game 3-2 and Seattle leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 10 and will air on ROOT-NW and STO.
Bauer is 0-3 with a 5.09 ERA against the Mariners in his career, but faces a struggling Seattle offense that’s hitting just .238 on the year. Jason Kipnis (.335, 41 Rs, 5 HRs, 27 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday. In his pitching opportunities against the Indians, Elias is 1-2 with a 5.19 ERA, eight strikeouts and eight walks. Kyle Seager (.276, 22 Rs, 9 HRs, 29 RBIs, 1 SB) has been doing well, going 2 for 2 yesterday.
Cleveland is a -157 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Indians have a 17-19 record and overall money line at -740. They have been very patient at the plate, leading the AL with an average of 3.9 walks per game. Over their past 10 games, Cleveland’s pitchers have been playing lights out, only allowing 3.1 runs per game, below their season average of 4.3. An area where the Indians are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average an AL-best 9.7 K’s per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Mariners come into this game with a weak win percentage of .368 when playing as the underdog (7-12) and an overall money line of -1,198. Over the last 10 games, they were winless as the underdog with a 0-2 record and 2-8 SU. During the last 10 games, they averaged 1.8 runs per game, below their 3.4 season average.
The Indians are 3-2 against the Mariners this season. This game will feature Elias (RHP) on the mound against the Indians, who have a 17-17 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Mariners will be the right-hander Bauer. They sport a 20-26 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner – CLE, O/U – Under
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, Seattle is 9-8, while Cleveland is 9-10.
The Indians managed to give up four walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Mariners who are coming in with a 9-6 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Indians are 4-24. The Mariners have a 9-16 record when opponents outhit them.
Cleveland ranks in the bottom half of the league at 18th when it comes to home runs, hitting 51 this season. Seattle ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 63.
Ranking 12th, Seattle is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.02 per game. Cleveland ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 8.55.
Ranking 22nd, Seattle is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.687). Cleveland ranks in the top 10 at seventh with an OPS of .729.
The Mariners are 11-27 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Indians are 19-22 when they allow at least one homer.