The Colorado Buffaloes (+4) are heading southwest to face the Arizona Wildcats at Arizona Stadium. FS1 will televise the action and kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET. When the two teams faced one another a year ago, Arizona knocked Colorado off by a field goal 45-42.
Colorado Buffaloes at Arizona Wildcats Betting Preview
Colorado is projected as the underdog and is currently getting 4 points in this Pac-12 game. The Buffaloes are also receiving +165 moneyline odds while the Wildcats are -185. If one team can get out in front early it will result in a worthy in-game betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 59 points.
The Buffaloes are 5-3 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 2.4 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 1-6. The Wildcats have lost 4.0 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 5-4 ATS and have an O/U record of 1-7.
The Buffaloes are 5-3 straight up (SU), including 2-3 SU against conference opponents. The Wildcats are 4-5 SU overall and are also 3-3 SU in conference play.
The Buffaloes are looking to get back in stride after a 41-34 defeat to Oregon State last week in which Steven Montez completed 24 passes for 319 yards and two touchdowns. Travon McMillian (132 rushing yards on 20 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Montez (66 yards on nine carries) led the ground attack. K.D. Nixon (13 receptions, 198 yards, two TDs) and Juwann Winfree (four catches, 54 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Arizona just put together a 44-15 win over Oregon. The defensive unit did its part in the victory, limiting the Ducks to only 186 passing yards and 84 rushing yards. Dillon Mitchell had a productive showing in the defeat for Oregon, recording 69 yards on six catches. For Arizona, Khalil Tate completed 19-of-33 passes for 189 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. J.J. Taylor (212 rushing yards on 30 attempts, two TDs) led the running game while Shun Brown (10 receptions, 96 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
In terms of offensive play-calling, each squad has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Colorado’s run the ball on 54.5 percent of its offensive possessions while Arizona has a rush percentage of 55.4. The Buffaloes have produced 177 rush yards per game (including 161 per game against Pac-12 opponents) and have 17 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Wildcats are averaging 205 rush yards per game (217 in conference) and have 13 total rushing TDs.
The Buffaloes offensive scheme has averaged 262 yards in the air overall (246 per game against conference opposition) and has 14 passing TDs so far. The Wildcats have produced 236 pass yards per outing (198.5 in the Pac-12) and have 17 total pass scores.
Defensively, Colorado appears to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has let opponents run for an average of 142 yards and pass for 223 yards per game. The Arizona D has allowed 238.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 183.4 yards per game to opposing runners. The Buffaloes are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.26 to opponents, while the Wildcats have allowed a 6.46 ANY/A.
Offensively, Montez is up to 1,909 passing yards this year, and has connected on 69 percent of his 239 attempts with 13 scores through the air and only three interceptions. Montez’s got a 7.64 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.75 over the last two games.
On the other sideline, Rhett Rodriguez has completed 41-of-79 passes for 506 yards, three TDs and two INTs. Rodriguez’s ANY/A stands at 5.71 for the year and 5.32 over his last two games.
RELATED: Week 10 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
NCAA Tip: Colorado Buffaloes vs. Arizona Wildcats
SU Winner – Arizona, ATS Winner – Arizona, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Colorado defense has sacked opposing QBs 23 times this season. Arizona has recorded just 16 sacks.
The Arizona offense has lost four fumbles this season while the Colorado offense has lost one.
The Buffaloes offense has registered nine pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Wildcats have accounted for seven such plays.
Both teams have allowed five pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Colorado defense has given up 10 pass plays of 30+ yards while Arizona has given up nine such plays.
The Colorado offense has created 13 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Arizona has created 14 such runs.
The Buffaloes defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Wildcats have given up 15 such runs.
The O/U for Arizona’s last game was set at 66. The under cashed in the 44-15 victory over Oregon.
In its last three matches, Arizona is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
In its last three matchups, Colorado is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for Colorado’s last game was set at 59. The over cashed in the team’s 41-34 defeat to Oregon State.
Colorado has rushed for 4.0 yards per attempt over its past three contests and 4.7 over its last two.
Arizona has averaged 5.3 yards per carry over its last three outings and 6.3 over its past two.
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