The Tulane Green Wave (+7) are flying east to visit the South Florida Bulls at Raymond James Stadium. This AAC game will commence at 3:30 p.m. ET and CBS Sports Network will broadcast the action.
Tulane Green Wave at South Florida Bulls Betting Preview
Tulane is a live dog and is currently getting 7 points in this Saturday AAC matchup. If they are wanting to play the moneyline, gamblers would currently need to spend $300 in order to win $100 back on the Bulls (-300). The Green Wave are getting +220 moneyline odds. If one squad can get out in front early it will create a solid in-game betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 58.5 points.
The early action has swayed toward the Green Wave, as the line opened at -8. The game’s total has not changed after being initially posted at 58.5.
The Green Wave are down 0.5 units so far and 4-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have recorded an O/U mark of 2-6. The Bulls have gained 4.5 units this season. The team is 2-6 ATS and owns an O/U record of 4-3.
The Green Wave are an ugly 3-5 straight up (SU), including 2-2 SU against conference opponents. The Bulls are 7-1 SU overall and 3-1 SU in conference play.
These two schools faced off a year ago with the final outcome being a 34-28 victory for South Florida.
The Green Wave enter after a 24-17 victory over Tulsa last week in which Justin McMillan completed only 10 passes on 19 attempts for 92 yards. Corey Dauphine (107 rushing yards on 18 attempts) and Darius Bradwell (76 yards on 12 carries, one TD) led the ground attack while Terren Encalade (four receptions, 44 yards) and Amare Jones (two catches, 12 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.
A week ago, Houston knocked off this South Florida team by a score of 57-36. Blake Barnett completed 26-of-39 passes for 263 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Jordan Cronkrite (73 yards on 20 rush attempts, one TD) and Johnny Ford (106 yards on 16 carries, two TDs) mounted the running game as Ryeshene Bronson (five receptions, 52 yards) and Darnell Salomon (five catches, 43 yards) led the receiving attack in the loss.
Tulane’s run the ball on 65.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while South Florida has an overall rush percentage of 54.7 percent. The Green Wave have run for 204 yards/game (including 233 per game against American Athletic Conference opponents) and have 17 scores on the ground this year. The Bulls are logging 233 rushing yards per game (229 in conference) and have 22 total rush TDs.
It seems like the Bulls ought to have the edge when it comes to applying pressure, since their offensive line has yielded only 19 sacks while the D-line has logged 21 sacks. The Green Wave O-line has given up 28 sacks and their defense has generated only 20 sacks.
The Green Wave offensive scheme has averaged 170 yards through the air overall (139 per game versus conference opposition) and has eight passing TDs so far. The Bulls have recorded 268 pass yards per outing (236.5 in the AAC) and have 11 total pass scores.
On the defensive side of the ball, Tulane has allowed 153 rush yards and 263 pass yards per game. The South Florida D has given up 210.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 233.6 yards per game on the ground. The Bulls are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.23 to opponents, while the Green Wave have given up a 6.83 ANY/A.
Offensively, Banks has put up 1,074 passing yards this season, and has connected on 52 percent of his 139 attempts with five scores through the air and two interceptions. He has a 5.84 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 2.96 over the last two outings.
Blake Barnett has connected on 140-of-227 passes for 1,813 yards, 10 TDs and six INTs for South Florida. His ANY/A sits at 6.80 for the year and 6.00 over his last two outings.
RELATED: Week 10 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
Betting Prediction: Tulane Green Wave vs. South Florida Bulls
SU Winner – South Florida, ATS Winner – South Florida, O/U – Over
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Betting Trends
The O/U for Tulane’s last game going into it was 48.5. The under cashed in the team’s 24-17 victory over Tulsa.
Tulane has produced 4.4 yards per carry over its past three outings and 4.8 over its last two.
South Florida has averaged 6.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 7.0 over its last two.
The South Florida offense has lost four fumbles this season while Tulane has lost eight.
In its last three matchups, Tulane is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for South Florida’s last game was 74.5. The over cashed in the 57-36 defeat to Houston.
In its last three contests, South Florida is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The Green Wave offense has created five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Bulls have accounted for 10 such plays.
Both teams have allowed five pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Tulane defense has given up 17 pass plays of 30+ yards while South Florida has yielded 12 such plays.
The Tulane offense has created 22 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while South Florida has created 15 such runs.
The Green Wave defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Bulls have given up 19 such runs.
The South Florida D has sacked opposing QBs 21 times this year. Tulane has registered 20 sacks.
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