In the Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl, the Arizona State Sun Devils are underdogs against the No. 19 Fresno State Bulldogs. The afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 3:30 p.m. ET and spectators can tune in to the action on ABC.
Fresno State Bulldogs at Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview
Arizona State is a live dog and is currently getting 5 points in this game. If they want to take the moneyline, bettors would currently have to put up $200 in order to win $100 back on the Bulldogs (-200). The Sun Devils are getting +170 moneyline odds. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 51.5 points. On the surface it looks like this game ought to present some live betting opportunities.
The sharp action is siding with both the Bulldogs and the under. The line initially opened at -4 and the total was originally 52.5.
Each team has posted a good return this season as the Bulldogs have gained 4.7 units while the Sun Devils are up 2.2 units.
The Bulldogs have gone 11-2 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Sun Devils are 7-5 SU.
The Bulldogs are coming off a 19-16 win over Boise State on December 1. Marcus McMaryion completed 20-of-32 passes for only 170 yards and one touchdown. Ronnie Rivers (63 rushing yards on 17 attempts, one TD) led the running attack in the win. KeeSean Johnson (six receptions, 40 yards) and Jared Rice (five catches, 44 yards) shared the receiving duties.
Arizona State just put together a 41-40 win over Arizona. The team’s defense allowed the Wildcats to run for 238 yards on 44 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. J.J. Taylor had a productive outing in the defeat for Arizona, accounting for 144 rushing yards on 28 attempts. For Arizona State, Manny Wilkins completed 18-of-31 passes for 265 yards and one touchdown. Eno Benjamin (80 rushing yards on 21 attempts, three TDs) and the signal-caller Wilkins (57 yards on nine carries, one TD) mounted the ground attack in the win as Brandon Aiyuk (five receptions, 106 yards, one TD) and N’Keal Harry (four catches, 55 yards) led the pass-catching corps.
Fresno State has run the ball on 53.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Arizona State has a rush percentage of 55.9 percent. The Bulldogs have produced 146 rush yards per game and have 28 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Sun Devils are putting up 186 rushing yards per game and have 25 total rush TDs.
The Bulldogs offensive scheme has averaged 274 yards through the air overall and has 26 passing TDs so far. The Sun Devils have produced 241 pass yards per contest and have 19 total pass scores.
Fresno State should have an advantage in both defensive facets. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 130 yards and pass for 194 yards per game. The Arizona State defense has given up 238.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 163.1 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bulldogs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.38 to opponents, while the Sun Devils have given up a 6.43 ANY/A.
Offensively, McMaryion is up to 3,136 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 258-of-369 attempts with 23 passing scores and only three interceptions. McMaryion’s got a sparkling 8.91 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.59 over the last two games.
In the hosts’ locker room, Manny Wilkins has completed 213-of-330 passes for 2,714 yards, 17 TDs and four INTs. Wilkins’ ANY/A sits at 8.26 for the year and 7.18 across his last two games.
Free NCAA Betting Tip: Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Arizona State Sun Devils
SU Winner – Arizona State, ATS Winner – Arizona State, O/U – Over
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Arizona State defense has sacked opposing QBs 29 times this year. Fresno State has produced just 23 sacks.
The Arizona State offense has lost four fumbles this season while Fresno State has lost seven.
The Bulldogs offense has tallied nine pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Sun Devils have put up 10 such plays.
The Fresno State defense has allowed nine pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Arizona State has given up five such plays.
The Fresno State offense has created 14 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Arizona State has created 18 such runs.
The Bulldogs defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Sun Devils have given up 15 such runs.
Fresno State has won 11 of its last 12 games SU, with a November 9th defeat to Boise State accounting for the only loss over that span.
Arizona State has won five of its last six games SU, with a -2-point defeat to Oregon on November 17th representing its only loss over that span.
Fresno State has produced 3.9 yards per carry across its last three contests and 4.6 over its last two.
Arizona State has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.9 over its past two.
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