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College Football Free Betting Prediction: UTSA Roadrunners vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Sep 29, 2018; Auburn, AL, USA; Southern Miss Golden Eagles tight end JayShawn Washington (1) makes a catch against the Auburn Tigers during the fourth quarter at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John Reed-USA TODAY Sports

The UTSA Roadrunners (+17) will clash with the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (-17) at Carlisle-Faulkner Field at M.M. Roberts Stadium. This CUSA matchup will start at 7:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to ESPN+.

UTSA Roadrunners vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles Betting Preview

In this Saturday Conference USA game, Southern Miss is projected as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 17 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline bettors would currently have to wager $1,400 to win $100 back on the Golden Eagles (-1400). The Roadrunners are getting +780 moneyline odds. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 44.5 points. Should the underdog gets out in front early, it would likely create a worthy betting scenario in-game.

Sharp bettors are favoring the Golden Eagles. This opening line was initially -16 while the game’s over/under was originally set at 45.

The Roadrunners have lost 1.0 unit so far and are 1-6 against the spread (ATS). The team’s recorded an O/U mark of 4-3. The Golden Eagles have lost 2.4 units this season. The team is 3-2 ATS and owns an O/U record of 1-3.

The Roadrunners are 3-4 straight up (SU), including 2-1 SU against conference opponents. The Golden Eagles are 2-3 SU overall and 1-1 SU in conference play.

These two teams faced off last year with the final result being a 31-29 victory for Southern Miss.

The Roadrunners look to get back on track after a 31-3 defeat to Louisiana Tech last week where Cordale Grundy completed only 17 passes on 38 attempts for 191 yards and one interception. Grundy (60 yards on 11 rush attempts) also led the ground attack. Blaze Moorhead (six receptions, 87 yards) and Marquez McNair (four catches, 54 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

A week ago, North Texas got the win against this Southern Miss team by a score of 30-7. Jack Abraham completed 29-of-42 passes for 318 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Trivenskey Mosley (73 rushing yards on 11 attempts) led the running game as Jordan Mitchell (12 receptions, 135 yards) and Tim Jones (seven catches, 69 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

UTSA has run the ball on 48.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Southern Miss has an overall rush percentage of 44.2 percent. The Roadrunners have produced 100 rush yards/game (including 104 per game against Conference USA opponents) and have five scores on the ground this year. The Golden Eagles are putting up 99 rush yards per game (94 in conference) and have two total rushing TDs.

The Roadrunners offense has averaged 156 yards through the air overall (144 per game against conference opposition) and has six passing scores so far. The Golden Eagles have recorded 319 pass yards per outing (372.5 in the CUSA) and have 12 total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, UTSA has allowed 118 rush yards and 253 pass yards per game. The Southern Miss D has given up 191.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 131.6 yards per game to opposing runners. The Golden Eagles are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.15 to opposing QBs, while the Roadrunners have given up a 7.71 ANY/A.

Offensively, Grundy is up to 957 passing yards this season, and has connected on 53 percent of his 197 attempts with five scores through the air and three interceptions. He has a 3.88 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 2.69 over the last two outings.

On the other sideline, Jack Abraham has completed 106-of-149 passes for 1,366 yards, 11 TDs and four INTs. Abraham’s ANY/A stands at 8.17 for the season and 4.25 across his past two games.

RELATED: Week 8 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions 

Betting Pick: UTSA Roadrunners at Southern Miss Golden Eagles

SU Winner – Southern Miss, ATS Winner – Southern Miss, O/U – Over

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Betting Trends

The O/U for UTSA’s last game was 47. The under cashed in the team’s 31-3 defeat to Louisiana Tech.

UTSA has averaged 3.7 yards per carry across its last three contests and 3.6 over its last two.

Southern Miss has averaged 2.9 yards per carry over its last three games and only 1.9 over its past two.

Southern Miss has lost five fumbles this season while UTSA has let six get away.

In its last three contests, UTSA is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Southern Miss’ previous game was set at 53. The under cashed in that 30-7 defeat to North Texas.

In its last three matches, Southern Miss is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Southern Miss has lost four of its last five games SU, with an 18-point victory over Rice on September 22nd representing its lone win over that span.

The Roadrunners offense has recorded one pass play of 40 or more yards, while the Golden Eagles have accounted for seven such plays.

The UTSA defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Southern Miss has given up four such plays.

The UTSA offense has created five rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Southern Miss has created three such runs.

The Roadrunners defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Golden Eagles have given up four such runs.

The UTSA defense has 19 sacks on the year while Southern Miss has just five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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