A couple of schools that prefer to mix in a lot of running plays, Chanticleers of Coastal Carolina (+6) are set to greet their conference counterpart Arkansas State Red Wolves (-6) in Brooks Stadium. ESPN+ owns the TV rights and the game’s scheduled for 5:00 p.m. ET.
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Betting Preview
In this Saturday Sun Belt game, Arkansas State is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 6 points. The Red Wolves are also receiving -240 moneyline odds while the Chanticleers are +190. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 61 points, and there will likely be multiple good in-game betting scenarios for this showdown.
The early action has leaned toward the Chanticleers. The opening line was 7, while the game’s total has yet to change after being set initially at 61.
The Red Wolves are down 0.1 units so far in 2018 and 3-6 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an Over-Under record of 3-5. The Chanticleers are up 1.4 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 5-4 ATS and have an even O/U record of 4-4.
The Red Wolves are 5-4 straight up (SU), including 2-3 SU against SBC opponents. The Chanticleers are 5-4 SU overall and 2-3 SU in conference play.
The Red Wolves are coming off a resounding 38-14 win over South Alabama last week. Justice Hansen completed 26 passes on 37 attempts for 332 yards and three touchdowns. Warren Wand (77 yards on 16 rush attempts, one TD) and Marcel Murray (40 yards on 11 carries) mounted the ground attack in the win while Justin McInnis (seven receptions, 177 yards, one TD) and Kirk Merritt (six catches, 63 yards, one TD) manned the receiving duties.
Back on November 3, Appalachian State got the win against this Coastal Carolina team by a score of 23-7. The Chanticleers defense let the Mountaineers kill the clock by rushing for 278 yards on 56 attempts, including two rush TDs. Darrynton Evans was on a different level for Appalachian State, putting up 159 rushing yards and a score on 27 attempts. As a group, the Chanticleers collectively completed 14-of-26 passes for 106 yards and one interception. Fred Payton went 10-for-16 for 79 yards and one interception while Kilton Anderson was four-of-10 for 27 yards. Payton (5 rushing yards on nine attempts) mounted the ground game in the defeat while Malcolm Williams (five receptions, 32 yards) and Outlow (four catches, 20 yards) led the Coastal Carolina pass-catchers.
Arkansas State’s run the ball on 50.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Coastal Carolina has an overall rush percentage of 70.1 percent. The Red Wolves have run for 181 yards per game (including 174 per game against Sun Belt opponents) and have 14 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Chanticleers are averaging 232 rush yards per game (210 in conference) and have 19 total rushing TDs.
It seems like the Red Wolves may be the more disruptive team in the trenches. Their offensive line has yielded only 35 sacks while the D-line registered 35 sacks. The Chanticleers offensive line has given up 28 sacks and their defense has forced only 15 sacks.
The Red Wolves offense has averaged 287 yards through the air overall (295 per game against conference opposition) and has 19 passing scores so far. The Chanticleers have produced 177 pass yards per outing (171.2 against SBC foes) and have 13 total pass TDs.
Arkansas State appears to have an advantage when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 221 yards and pass for 177 yards per game. The Coastal Carolina defense has allowed 217.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 224.4 yards per game on the ground. The Red Wolves are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.56 to opposing QBs, while the Chanticleers have given up a 7.26 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Hansen has put up 2,127 yards this season. The signal-caller has connected on 186-of-287 attempts with 17 scores through the air and only five interceptions. He’s got a 7.07 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 9.26 over the last two games.
Justin McInnis (551 receiving yards, four receiving touchdowns this season), Kirk Merritt (395 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) and Marcel Murray (453 rush yards, three rush TDs, one TD) have each played big roles lately.
Fred Payton has connected on 18-of-26 passes for 220 yards, two TDs and two INTs for Coastal Carolina. His ANY/A sits at 5.17 for the year and 6.33 over his last two outings.
Torrance Marable (447 rushing yards, five rush TDs, 54 receiving yards, two receiving touchdowns on the year), Malcolm Williams (517 receiving yards, three receiving TDs) and Ky’Jon Tyler (16 rush yards, 294 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) have combined for 405 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns the last two games.
These two schools met last year with the final outcome being a 51-17 win for Arkansas State.
Betting Pick: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
SU Winner – Arkansas State, ATS Winner – Arkansas State, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Over/Under for Arkansas State’s previous game was set at 62. The under cashed in the team’s 38-14 victory over South Alabama.
Arkansas State has produced 5.3 yards per carry across its last three games and 4.4 over its last two.
Coastal Carolina has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.4 over its last two.
The Coastal Carolina offense has lost seven fumbles this season while Arkansas State has let four get away.
In its last three matchups, Arkansas State is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for Coastal Carolina’s previous outing was set at 53. The under cashed in the 23-7 defeat to Appalachian State.
Over its last three matches, Coastal Carolina is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Red Wolves offense has created three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Chanticleers have accounted for five such plays.
The Arkansas State defense has allowed 12 pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Coastal Carolina has given up four such plays.
The Arkansas State offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Coastal Carolina has created 23 such runs.
The Red Wolves defense has allowed 18 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Chanticleers have given up 29 such runs.
The Arkansas State defense has sacked opposing QBs 21 times this season. Coastal Carolina has registered 19 sacks.
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