The Indiana Hoosiers and No. 4 Michigan Wolverines will collide on the turf at Michigan Stadium. This crucial Big 10 showdown will get underway at 4:00 p.m. ET and FS1 is in line to broadcast the action. When these two teams faced one another a year ago, Michigan won by a touchdown 27-20.
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview
Michigan has been tabbed as heavily favored in this one and is currently giving up 28 points to Indiana. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 53.5 points. If one side can catch a lucky break in the early stages, it’ll likely produce a decent live betting scenario.
The Hoosiers are 4-6 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.6 units so far in 2018. The team’s posted an Over-Under record of 7-3. The surprising Wolverines are up 4.5 units this season. They’re 6-4 ATS and have an O/U record of 5-4-1.
The Hoosiers are 5-5 straight up (SU), including 2-5 SU against Big 10 opponents. The Wolverines are 9-1 SU overall and 7-0 SU in conference play.
The Hoosiers just scored a 34-32 win over Maryland last week where Peyton Ramsey completed 16 passes for 243 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Stevie Scott (103 yards on 19 rush attempts, one TD) led the ground attack. Luke Timian (four receptions, 44 yards) and Donavan Hale (three catches, 92 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.
The Michigan Wolverines just earned a lopsided 42-7 win over Rutgers. The defense let the Scarlet Knights run for 193 yards on 33 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Isaih Pacheco had a productive showing in the loss for Rutgers, recording 142 rushing yards and a score on 16 attempts. For Michigan, Shea Patterson completed 18-of-27 passes for 260 yards and three touchdowns. Karan Higdon (42 rushing yards on 15 attempts, two TDs) and Tru Wilson (58 yards on eight carries) spearheaded the running game as Donovan Peoples-Jones (five receptions, 83 yards) and Nico Collins (three catches, 56 yards, two TDs) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Indiana’s run the ball on 47.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Michigan has an overall rush percentage of 63.7 percent. The Hoosiers have produced 156 rush yards/game (including 122 per game versus Big Ten opponents) and have 14 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Wolverines are putting up 215 rushing yards per game (227 in conference) and have 23 total rush TDs.
It seems like the Wolverines could hold an edge in terms of RB effectiveness. Their backfield has produced 5.0 yards per carry while the defense has allowed a YPC of 3.1 to opponents. The Hoosiers have tallied 4.3 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.6 to opponents.
The Hoosiers offensive scheme has averaged 255 yards through the air overall (279 per game versus conference opposition) and has 18 passing scores so far. The Wolverines have recorded 207 pass yards per game (205.1 against Big 10 competition) and have 19 total pass TDs.
Indiana has allowed opponents to run for an average of 181 yards and pass for 233 yards per game. The Michigan D has given up 116.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 103.8 yards per game on the ground. The Wolverines are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 2.32 to opposing QBs, while the Hoosiers have allowed a 6.77 ANY/A.
Offensively, Ramsey has put up 2,103 passing yards this season, and has connected on 68 percent of his 317 attempts with 15 passing scores and nine interceptions. Ramsey’s got a 5.51 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.16 over the last two games.
For the home team, Shea Patterson has completed 141-of-210 passes for 1,783 yards, 15 TDs and three INTs. Patterson’s ANY/A stands at 8.34 for the season and 11.09 over his past two games.
RELATED: Week 12 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
Betting Pick: Indiana Hoosiers vs. Michigan Wolverines
SU Winner – Michigan, ATS Winner – Indiana, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Hoosiers offense has registered three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Wolverines have put up seven such plays.
The Indiana defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Michigan has given up two such plays.
The Indiana offense has created 13 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Michigan has created 20 such runs.
The Hoosiers defense has allowed 13 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Wolverines have given up 12 such runs.
The Michigan defense has sacked opposing QBs 29 times this year. Indiana has registered just 16 sacks.
Indiana has averaged 4.8 yards per rush attempt over its last three outings and 4.7 over its last two.
Michigan has averaged 4.4 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.9 over its past two.
In its last three matchups, Michigan is 2-1 ATS.
The Over/Under for Indiana’s last game going into it was 55. The over cashed in the team’s 34-32 win over Maryland.
In its last three matchups, Indiana is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
The O/U for Michigan’s last outing was set at 45. The over cashed in that 42-7 victory over Rutgers.
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