Two schools that like to run the football, No. 8 Sooners of Oklahoma (-24) are set to welcome the Kansas State Wildcats to Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium. This conference matchup will get going at 3:30 p.m. ET and FOX is in line to broadcast the action.
Kansas State Wildcats at Oklahoma Sooners Betting Preview
Oklahoma has been tabbed as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 24 points to Kansas State. If the Sooners fall behind early it’ll result in a worthwhile betting opportunity in-game. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 64 points.
The line has recently shifted down from -22 to where it stands now (-24). The game’s total hasn’t moved after being set initially at 64.
The Wildcats are down 0.3 units so far and 4-3 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 2-4. The Sooners have gained 0.0 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-4 ATS and have an O/U record of 6-1.
The Wildcats are 3-4 straight up (SU), including 1-3 SU against conference opponents. The Sooners are 6-1 SU overall and are also 3-1 SU in conference play.
When these two teams faced each other a year ago, Oklahoma won by a touchdown 42-35.
The Wildcats are coming off a resounding 31-12 win over Oklahoma State on October 13. The passing attack wasn’t great as Skylar Thompson completed just 11-of-22 passes for 130 yards. Alex Barnes (181 rushing yards on 34 attempts, four TDs) and the signal-caller Thompson (80 yards on 12 carries) led the running attack. Isaiah Zuber (three receptions, 33 yards) and Barnes (three catches, 51 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.
Oklahoma enters this one after just getting a lopsided 52-27 win over TCU. The team’s defense allowed the Horned Frogs to rush for 112 yards on 30 attempts. KaVontae Turpin had a good outing in the loss for TCU, accounting for 62 yards on five catches. For Oklahoma, Kyler Murray completed 19-of-24 passes for 213 yards and four touchdowns. Kennedy Brooks (168 rushing yards on 18 attempts, one TD) and Trey Sermon (110 yards on 17 carries, two TDs) spearheaded the running game while CeeDee Lamb (five receptions, 91 yards, one TD) and Marquise Brown (five catches, 41 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Kansas State’s run the ball on 63.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Oklahoma has an overall rush percentage of 58.3 percent. The Wildcats have produced 192 rush yards per game (including 202 per game versus Big 12 opponents) and have 12 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Sooners are averaging 225 rush yards per game (223 in conference) and have 19 total rushing TDs.
If the results so far this season are any indication, then it’s looking like the Sooners could own an advantage when it comes to effectiveness in the ground game. Their backfield has logged 6.4 yards per carry while the defense has allowed 3.5 YPC to opponents. The Wildcats have ran for 4.6 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 5.2 to opponents.
The Wildcats offensive scheme has averaged 165 yards through the air overall (154 per game against conference opposition) and has six passing scores so far. The Sooners have put up 301 pass yards per outing (325.8 in the Big 12) and have 26 total pass TDs.
On the defensive side of the ball, Kansas State has allowed 173 rush yards and 233 pass yards per game. The Oklahoma D has given up 249.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 150.4 yards per game to opposing runners. The Wildcats are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.09 to opposing QBs, while the Sooners have allowed a 6.54 ANY/A.
Offensively, Thompson has amassed 731 passing yards this season. He’s completed 55 percent of his 106 attempts with four passing scores and one interception. He has a 6.05 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 3.11 over the last two outings.
We’re looking for Wildcats to control tempo by putting the ball in the hands of their running backs. Along with Skylar Thompson (0 yards), Alex Barnes (538 rush yards, six rush TDs, 116 receiving yards) and Dalvin Warmack (70 rush yards, 48 receiving yards) have brought significant production to the offensive scheme for Kansas State.
Kyler Murray has completed 96-of-133 passes for 1,673 yards, 21 TDs and two INTs for Oklahoma. His ANY/A stands at 14.09 for the season and 11.49 across his past two games.
The Sooners also like to keep their RBs featured. Marquise Brown (585 receiving yards, five TDs) has contributed lately, but Trey Sermon (404 rush yards, four rush TDs, 55 receiving yards) and Kennedy Brooks (326 rush yards, four rush TDs) have gotten a lot of touches recently.
RELATED: Week 9 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
Free Prediction: Kansas State Wildcats vs. Oklahoma Sooners
SU Winner – Oklahoma, ATS Winner – Kansas State, O/U – Over
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Notes
Team Betting Notes
Oklahoma has lost three fumbles this season while Kansas State has lost six.
The Oklahoma defensive unit has created 18 sacks on the year while Kansas State has just 11.
As a team, Kansas State has produced 5.6 yards per carry over its past three games and 6.8 over its last two.
Oklahoma has averaged 6.6 yards per carry over its last three contests and 7.0 over its last two.
In its last three matchups, Oklahoma is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
The Over/Under for Kansas State’s previous game was set at 62.5. The under cashed in the team’s 31-12 win over Oklahoma State.
In its last three matchups, Kansas State is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for Oklahoma’s last game going into it was 61. The over cashed in the 52-27 victory over TCU.
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