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College Football Free Pick – Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Brian Westerholt-USA TODAY Sports

In a battle featuring two teams that prefer to run the football, Coach Joe Moglia and the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers are getting six points as they prepare to welcome the Georgia Southern Eagles to Brooks Stadium. This crucial conference game kicks off at 5:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to ESPN+. These teams faced off a year ago with the final result being a 28-17 victory for Coastal Carolina.

Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Betting Preview

In this Saturday Sun Belt game, Georgia Southern is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 6 points. The Eagles are also receiving -240 moneyline odds while the Chanticleers are +190. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 53.5 points. Should the underdog gets ahead early on, it’ll likely create a worthwhile live betting opportunity.

This game’s opening line was 5.5. The over/under has not moved after it was initially set at 53.5.

The profitable Eagles have gained 4.3 units so far in 2018 and are 7-3 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an Over-Under record of 5-4. The Chanticleers are up 0.5 units this season. The team is 5-5 ATS and has an O/U record of 4-5.

The Eagles have gone 7-3 straight up (SU), including 4-2 SU against SBC opponents. The Chanticleers are 5-5 SU overall and 2-4 SU in conference play.

Both teams enter this matchup on two-game losing streaks. The Eagles are looking to get back in stride after a 35-21 loss to Troy last week. Shai Werts completed 14 passes for 190 yards and two touchdowns. Werts (35 rushing yards on 16 attempts, one TD) also spearheaded the running attack and was complemented by Wesley Fields (17 yards on 10 carries). Fields (five receptions, 138 yards) and Ellis Richardson (four catches, 14 yards, two TDs) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Coastal Carolina just dropped a 44-16 game to Arkansas State. The defense allowed the Red Wolves to rush for 173 yards on 29 attempts, including two rush TDs. Kirk Merritt had a productive outing in the win for Arkansas State, recording 180 yards on 11 catches. As a group, the Chanticleers collectively completed 16-of-31 passes for 165 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Fred Payton went 11-for-18 for 146 yards and two touchdowns while Kilton Anderson was five-of-13 for 19 yards and one interception. Torrance Marable (59 rushing yards on 12 attempts) mounted the running attack while Marable (four receptions, 33 yards) and Isaiah Likely (four catches, 13 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Georgia Southern’s run the ball on 84.0 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Coastal Carolina has a rush percentage of 68.4 percent. The Eagles have run for 245 yards per game (including 221 per game versus Sun Belt opponents) and have 26 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Chanticleers are totaling 221 rush yards per game (197 in conference) and have 19 total rushing TDs.

It seems like the Eagles could own the edge along both the offensive and defensive fronts. Their offensive line has given up just 29 sacks while their D-line registered 22 sacks. The Chanticleers, on the other hand, have given up 28 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 15 occasions.

The Eagles offense has averaged 86 yards through the air overall (89 per game versus conference opposition) and has eight passing scores so far. The Chanticleers have produced 176 pass yards per outing (170.2 in the SBC) and have 15 total pass TDs.

Georgia Southern has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 156 yards and pass for 233 yards per game. The Coastal Carolina D has given up 224.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 219.3 yards per game to opposing runners. The Eagles are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.35 to opposing QBs, while the Chanticleers have allowed a 7.78 ANY/A.

Offensively, Werts is up to 738 passing yards this year, and has connected on 58 percent of his 77 attempts with seven scores through the air and has yet to throw an interception. Werts has a 9.01 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 6.22 over the last two outings.

In the other locker room, Fred Payton has completed 31-of-45 passes for 509 yards, five TDs and one INT. Payton’s ANY/A sits at 10.84 for the year and 4.79 over his last two outings.

RELATED: Week 12 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions 

NCAA Prediction: Georgia Southern Eagles at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

SU Winner – Georgia Southern, ATS Winner – Georgia Southern, O/U – Over

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Notes

Betting Trends

The Eagles offense has produced seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Chanticleers have accounted for five such plays.

The Georgia Southern defense has allowed nine pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Coastal Carolina has given up five such plays.

The Georgia Southern offense has created 21 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Coastal Carolina has created 25 such runs.

The Eagles defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Chanticleers have given up 30 such runs.

The Georgia Southern D has sacked opposing QBs 20 times this season. Coastal Carolina has produced 19 sacks.

As a team, Georgia Southern has averaged 4.0 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.0 over its last two.

Coastal Carolina has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.2 over its past two.

Over its last three matchups, Coastal Carolina is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Georgia Southern’s last game was set at 44.5. The over cashed in the team’s 35-21 defeat to Troy.

In its last three matches, Georgia Southern is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

The Over/Under for Coastal Carolina’s last matchup was set at 61. The under cashed in the team’s 44-16 loss to Arkansas State.

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Written by GMS Previews

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