The UNLV Rebels (+7) will meet the Arkansas State Red Wolves (-7) at Centennial Bank Stadium. The matchup starts at 7:00 p.m. ET and ESPN 3 is scheduled to broadcast the action.
UNLV Rebels at Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Preview
UNLV is projected as the underdog and is currently getting 7 points in this matchup. If they are wanting to take the moneyline, gamblers would currently need to put up $300 in order to win $100 back on the Red Wolves (-300). The Rebels are getting +220 moneyline odds. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 68 points, and if one squad can create a bunch of points early on, it will likely generate a solid live betting scenario.
This game’s line opened at -8. The over/under has not changed after being initially posted at 68.
The Rebels are 2-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.0 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 2-0. The Red Wolves are up 1.0 unit this season. The team is 1-2 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-1.
The Rebels have gone 2-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Red Wolves are also 2-1 SU.
The Rebels are coming off a resounding 46-17 victory over Prairie View A&M last week. Armani Rogers completed just 11 passes on 21 attempts for 130 yards, along with a TD and an interception. Lexington Thomas (124 rushing yards on 30 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Rogers (122 yards on 17 carries, four TDs) led the ground attack. Tyleek Collins (two receptions, 29 yards) and Kendal Keys (two catches, 24 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.
Arkansas State enter this Saturday’s matchup after just earning a 29-20 win over Tulsa. The defense allowed the Golden Hurricane to rush for 167 yards on 42 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Shamari Brooks had a good showing in the loss, recording 115 rushing yards on 21 attempts for Tulsa. For Arkansas State, Justice Hansen completed 20-of-33 passes for 191 yards. Hansen (80 yards on 14 rush attempts, one TD) and Warren Wand (61 yards on 13 carries) handled the running game while Justin McInnis (six receptions, 66 yards) and Kirk Merritt (three catches, 28 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
UNLV’s run the ball on 72.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Arkansas State has a rush percentage of 49.0 percent. The Rebels have produced 347 rush yards per game and have 10 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Red Wolves are logging 189 rush yards per game and have two total rushing TDs.
It appears that the Red Wolves could have an advantage along both the offensive and defensive fronts. Their offensive line has allowed only five sacks while the D-line has logged eight sacks. The Rebels O-line has allowed eight sacks and their defense has forced only six sacks.
The Rebels offensive scheme has averaged 115 yards in the air overall and has six passing TDs so far. The Red Wolves have put up 302 pass yards per outing and have eight total pass scores.
Defensively, UNLV has allowed 194 rush yards and 204 pass yards per game. The Arkansas State D has allowed 218.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 189.0 yards per game on the ground. The Rebels are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.50 to opponents, while the Red Wolves have allowed a 7.80 ANY/A.
Offensively, Rogers has amassed 227 passing yards on the year. He’s connected on 48 percent of his 48 attempts with three passing scores and one interception. Rogers has a 4.00 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 7.27 over the past two outings.
Justice Hansen has connected on 46-of-69 passes for 614 yards, six TDs and one INT for Arkansas State. His ANY/A stands at 9.35 for the season and 3.78 over his last two outings.
Free Pick: UNLV Rebels vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves
SU Winner – Arkansas State, ATS Winner – Arkansas State, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Arkansas State defense has tallied eight sacks on the year while UNLV has six.
The Arkansas State offense has lost two fumbles this season while UNLV has lost three.
Both offenses have produced two pass plays of 30+ yards.
The UNLV defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Arkansas State has given up six such plays.
The UNLV offense has created 13 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Arkansas State has created three such runs.
The Rebels defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Red Wolves have given up four such runs.
As a team, UNLV has averaged 6.1 yards per carry over its last two games.
Arkansas State has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its last two.
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