The Western Michigan Broncos (-7.5) are heading south to face the Georgia State Panthers at Parker H. Petit Field at Georgia State Stadium. This afternoon game is scheduled to start at 2:00 p.m. ET and fans can witness the action live on ESPN+.
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Georgia State Panthers Betting Preview
In this Saturday game, Western Michigan is getting picked as the favorite and is currently giving up 7.5 points. The Broncos are also receiving -330 moneyline odds while the Panthers are +250. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 62.5 points, and some good in-game betting scenarios could be unveiled during the showdown.
The sharp action has been siding with the Broncos, as the opening line was 6.5. The game’s O/U has not changed after it was initially established at 62.5.
The Broncos are 1-2 against the spread (ATS) and are down 1.0 unit this season. The team has posted an Over-Under record of 1-1. The Panthers have gained 1.0 unit this year. The team is 1-2 ATS and also has an O/U record of 1-1.
The Broncos are 1-2 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Panthers are also 1-2 SU.
The Broncos are trying to maintain momentum following a solid 68-0 win over Delaware State last week. The passing game was on point as Jon Wassink completed 23 passes on 30 attempts for 286 yards and two touchdowns. Jamauri Bogan (just 33 yards on 11 rush attempts, but two TDs) and Prince Walker (59 yards on nine carries, one TD) mounted the running attack in the win while Drake Harris (seven receptions, 57 yards) and Giovanni Ricci (five catches, 77 yards, two TDs) handled the receiving duties.
Georgia State most-recently fell 59-22 to Memphis. The team’s defense allowed the Tigers to eat up the clock by running for 410 yards on 35 rush attempts, including three rush TDs. Darrell Henderson shredded the defense, putting up 233 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 14 attempts for Memphis. As a group, the Panthers collectively completed 19-of-34 passes for 139 yards and one interception. Dan Ellington went 15-for-26 for 107 yards and one interception while Aaron Winchester was two-of-five for 18 yards. Destin Coates (68 yards on 12 rush attempts) spearheaded the ground game in the defeat while Cornelius McCoy (five receptions, 43 yards) and Penny Hart (four catches, 35 yards) led the receiving corps.
Western Michigan has run the ball on 51.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Georgia State has a rush percentage of 53.8 percent. The Broncos have run for 202 yards/game and have seven touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Panthers are totaling 136 rushing yards per game and have three total rush TDs.
If 2018 results can translate to this game, then it’s looking like the Broncos could own an advantage when it comes to quarterback protection. Their offensive line has yielded just 22 sacks while their D-line logged 20 sacks. The Panthers offensive line has given up 25 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 24 occasions.
The Broncos offense has logged 250 yards/contest through the air overall and has five passing scores so far. The Panthers have put up 189 pass yards per game and have three total pass TDs.
Western Michigan seems to possess an advantage when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 252 yards and pass for 126 yards per game. The Georgia State defense has allowed 298.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 235.3 yards per game on the ground. The Broncos are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.54 to opponents, while the Panthers have given up an ugly 10.53 ANY/A.
Offensively, Wassink is up to 665 passing yards this season, and has completed 42-of-66 attempts with five scores through the air and two interceptions. Wassink has a 10.04 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 5.48 over the past two outings.
Dan Ellington has completed 35-of-54 passes for 294 yards, three TDs and one INT for Georgia State. His ANY/A stands at a less-than-spectacular 4.68 for the season and 3.98 across his past two outings.
Free NCAA Betting Tip: Western Michigan Broncos at Georgia State Panthers
SU Winner – Georgia State, ATS Winner – Georgia State, O/U – Over
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Western Michigan defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks six times this season. Georgia State has registered two sacks.
Georgia State has lost two fumbles this season while the Western Michigan offense has not lost any.
The Broncos offense has recorded four pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Panthers have put up one such play.
The Western Michigan defense has allowed two pass plays of 40+ yards, while Georgia State has given up three such plays.
The Western Michigan offense has created seven rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Georgia State has created four such runs.
The Broncos defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Panthers have given up five such runs.
Western Michigan has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last two outings.
Georgia State has averaged 3.8 yards per carry over its last two.
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