The Oregon State Beavers (8-4) will try to continue their five-game home winning streak in a matchup against the Colorado Buffaloes (8-4) at Gill Coliseum. The game starts at 11 p.m. ET on Friday, December 29, 2017, and will air on ESPNU.
Oregon State is a 3.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 143 points.
Colorado Buffaloes at Oregon State Beavers Betting Prediction
The Buffaloes are hoping for a better outcome after their 80-73 loss to the Iowa Hawkeyes in their last game. Getting to the free throw line was one of Iowa’s biggest advantages. They made 36 trips to the line, while Colorado went just 17 times. McKinley Wright IV was the game’s leading scorer with 21 points on 6-for-11 shooting.
In the Beavers’ last game, they lost a close one to the Kent State Golden Flashes, 79-78. Kent State’s turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Oregon State. The Golden Flashes had a rate of 18.6 (worse than their season average of 16.3), while the Beavers posted a mark of 21.1 (above their season average of 17.5). With 25 points on 7-for-13 shooting, Tres Tinkle was Oregon State’s high scorer.
The aggressive Oregon State offense might be getting to the free throw line a lot in this contest. The Beavers currently rank 10th in the nation with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.332, while Colorado ranks 226th in FTA rate allowed (0.250).
Colorado is 8-4 straight up (SU), but they struggle covering the spread (5-7 against the spread (ATS)). Vegas is known to place the total low when the Buffaloes are involved, as 58.3 percent of their games have finished over the projected point total.
Oregon State is 8-4 SU, but they are just 3-9 ATS. Just over half of Beavers games have finished over the total.
Wright IV has averaged 17.8 points, 6.8 rebounds and 5.0 assists over the last five games for Colorado.
After the Buffaloes won both contests against the Beavers last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last matchup, Colorado won 60-52. The Buffaloes had a much better turnover percentage (17.8 vs. 24.9) and had a better free throw rate (0.208 vs. 0.160).
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Oregon State Beavers ATS Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Colorado, ATS Winner – Colorado, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Colorado is 1-5 ATS on the road with 4 overs and 2 unders.
At home, Oregon State is 1-6 ATS with 4 overs and 2 unders.
Colorado ranks 40th in rebounds per game (39.5) while Oregon State ranks 144th (35.8).
The Buffaloes rank 169th in three pointers attempted per game (21.2) while the Beavers rank 225th (18.7).
Oregon State averages 6.9 steals per game, which ranks 74th in the nation. Colorado ranks 119th in steals allowed per game (6.8).
The Beavers rank 50th in blocks allowed per game (2.8) while the Buffaloes rank 61st (2.9).
Oregon State is 36th in the NCAA with 11.1 assists allowed per game while Colorado is 46th with 11.3 assists allowed per game.
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Colorado is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Oregon State is 1-4 ATS with 2 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Buffaloes have been outscored by an average of 3.4 points in their last five games. On the season, Colorado has defeated opponents by an average of 3.6 points.
During their last five games, the Beavers have scored an average of 74.0 points per game (2.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 65.6 points per game (4.6 below their season average).
