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Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves Free Pick 08/18/18

Adam Hagy-USA TODAY Sports

The Colorado Rockies will be taking on the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and this NL showdown will be shown on both ATRM and FSSO.

Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves Odds

Atlanta (-140) is favored over Colorado (+130) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Rockies +1.5 runs (-170) and Braves -1.5 runs (+150).

The Rockies have gone 66-56 SU this year and are 63-58 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 10.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.3 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 68-53 SU and 63-56 ATS. They’ve gained 21.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.8 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Atlanta games have an over/under record of 58-56-5 in 2018. Colorado has been a decent under bet with a total record of 53-62-6.

Right-hander Antonio Senzatela is the projected starter for Colorado. Senzatela is 4-3 with a 4.56 ERA and 37 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Braves are putting the ball in the hands of righty Mike Foltynewicz (10-7, 2.86 ERA), who has 152 punchouts and 54 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.18. Foltynewicz made two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 0-2 record in 2017, putting together a 0-2 record with a 9.72 ERA.

As a unit, Atlanta’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.66 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.12 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.

The Atlanta offense is putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 6.1 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .298/.355/.491 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman have led the Braves’ hitters this year. Markakis is hitting .319/.380/.494 with 14 home runs, 78 RBIs and 69 runs scored, and Freeman’s line is .320/.401/.531 with 20 homers, 76 RBIs and 76 runs.

In the other dugout, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.31 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.49 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.18, along with a WHIP of 1.29.

The Rockies offense has slashed .254/.322/.428 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Colorado’s offense has been powered by shortstop Trevor Story and third baseman Nolan Arenado, who’ve collectively blasted 55 home runs. Story is hitting .293/.350/.549 with 25 home runs, 83 RBIs, 63 runs and 17 stolen bases, while Arenado is slashing .308/.391/.582 with 30 homers, 84 RBIs and 80 runs scored.

The Rockies have gained 3.8 units and are 35-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 38 of those games, compared to 35 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 20.7 units and are 47-36 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 40 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve gone under.

Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in five of Colorado’s last seven games.

The Rockies have won six of their last seven games SU.

Atlanta has recorded 26.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 26.2 over its last five.

The Rockies have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 15 over their last 10.

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