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Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview 09/17/18

Kiel Maddox-USA TODAY Sports

The Colorado Rockies are making a road trip to Los Angeles to face their division rival Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. The first pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and the matchup will be televised on both ATRM and SNLA.

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Los Angeles (-135) is the favorite over Colorado (+125) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 7.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -170 for taking the Rockies +1.5 runs and +150 for the Dodgers -1.5.

The Dodgers are 82-68 straight up (SU) and 66-83 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 24.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 17.4 units (ATS). Los Angeles has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Rockies are 82-67 SU and have gone 76-72 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 13.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.3 units ATS. Colorado is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Los Angeles games have an over/under record of 70-73-6 in 2018. The Rockies have been a great under bet with a total record of 62-80-6.

The right-handed Jon Gray is the probable starter for Colorado. Gray is 11-7 with a 4.80 ERA and 174 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 5.59 ERA against Los Angeles this year (two starts).

The Dodgers are going with lefty Hyun-Jin Ryu (4-3, 2.42 ERA), who has 73 strikeouts and 13 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.09. Ryu has yet to face the Rockies this year, but he made four starts against them in 2017, putting together a 0-4 record with an 8.64 ERA.

Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.30 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.54 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.72, along with a WHIP of 1.29 and a K/9 of 9.01.

Rockies hitters have slashed .256/.322/.433 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Colorado’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Trevor Story and outfielder Charlie Blackmon, who have combined to launch 59 home runs. Story is slashing .289/.344/.551 with 33 home runs, 102 RBIs, 81 runs and 26 steals, while Blackmon has a .287 average with 26 homers, 64 RBIs and 108 runs scored.

For the home team, Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 3.28 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.75 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 64 divisional games, Dodgers starters have an ERA of 3.12 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.64.

The Los Angeles hitters are putting up 4.8 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 7.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .302/.399/.514 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

First baseman Cody Bellinger and right fielder Chris Taylor have led the Dodgers’ hitters this year. Bellinger is slashing .261/.344/.471 with 23 home runs, 71 RBIs and 81 runs scored, and Taylor’s line is .249/.326/.442 with 16 homers, 60 RBIs and 76 runs scored.

The Rockies have gained 5.3 units and are 32-25 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, as opposed to 35 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 19.3 units and are 38-53 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 50 of those games, compared to 38 that went under the total.

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in three of Colorado’s last seven games.

Los Angeles has posted 25.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 29.0 over its last five.

The Rockies have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Dodgers have hit 16 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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