The Colorado Rockies will be facing off against the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. This NL matchup starts at 7:10 p.m. ET and you can catch it on either ATRM or FSFL.
Colorado Rockies at Miami Marlins Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Colorado (-145) as the favorite over Miami (+135). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -120 for over 8.5 runs and even money (+100) for under 8.5. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at Rockies -1.5 runs (+100) and Marlins 1.5 runs (-120).
The Marlins are only 7-18 SU and 10-14 ATS. The team has lost 2.5 units for moneyline bettors and 5.7 units against the spread (ATS). On the other hand, the Rockies have gone 15-12 SU this year and are 14-12 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 2.2 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 2.1 units ATS.
Marlins games have had an over/under record of 13-11 so far in 2018. The Rockies have an over/under record of 12-12-2.
The right-handed German Marquez will get the nod for Colorado. Marquez is 1-2 with a 6.14 ERA and 21 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 10.38 ERA and four strikeouts across 4.1 innings).
The Marlins are planning to start lefty Caleb Smith (0-3, 5.82 ERA), who has 32 strikeouts and 15 walks to his name, as well as a 1.52 WHIP. Smith did not record a start against the Rockies in 2017.
Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.50 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.41 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.90, along with a WHIP of 1.40.
Rockies hitters have slashed .231/.308/.393 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game this year, including 4.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Third baseman Nolan Arenado and right fielder Charlie Blackmon have led Colorado’s hitters. Arenado is slashing .329/.429/.566 with four home runs, 12 RBIs and 12 runs scored, while Blackmon is hitting .282 with eight homers, 15 RBIs and 21 runs scored.
Arenado performed well against left-handed pitching on the road last season, maintaining a slash line of .408/.477/.803 across 86 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .309/.373/.586).
For the home team, Miami’s pitching staff has given up 5.5 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.75, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 5.57 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 10.1 K/9.
The Miami offense is putting up 3.2 runs per contest, including 3.2 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .218/.304/.335 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
First baseman Justin Bour and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the Marlins’ hitters so far. Bour is hitting .250/.357/.417 with four home runs, 13 RBIs and eight runs scored, while Anderson’s line is .244/.370/.333 with 22 hits, 12 RBIs and 10 runs.
Anderson enjoyed hitting against right-handed pitching at home in 2017, slashing .303/.425/.455 across 40 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .262/.337/.369).
The Rockies have lost 1.9 units and are 6-5 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in four of those games, as opposed to five that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 3.3 units and are 7-11 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in nine of those games, compared to nine that went under the total.
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in three of Miami’s last seven games.
Miami has recorded 17.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.6 over its last five.
Both teams have hit nine home runs over their last 10 games.
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