The Colorado Rockies will head east to play the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. This NL showdown will begin at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Net Wisconsin to catch the action.
Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (-120) is favored against Colorado (+110) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at Rockies +1.5 runs (-190) and Brewers -1.5 runs (+165).
The Brewers are 61-48 straight up (SU) and 58-53 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 13.7 units for moneyline bettors and 0.9 units (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Rockies are 56-49 SU and have gone 56-51 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 9.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 6.2 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Milwaukee games have a 50-58-3 over/under record in 2018. Colorado has an over/under record of 49-53-5.
Right-hander German Marquez will get the start for Colorado. Marquez (9-8, 4.82 ERA) has racked up 120 strikeouts in 115.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 9.64 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
The Brewers will put the ball in the right hand of Junior Guerra (6-7, 3.43 ERA, 1.29 WHIP), who’s got 105 punchouts and 44 walks. Guerra hasn’t faced the Rockies yet this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 6.00 ERA and four strikeouts across three innings).
Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.30 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.37 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.24, along with a WHIP of 1.32 and a K/9 of 8.88.
Rockies hitters have slashed .256/.324/.434 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Colorado’s offensive production has been sparked by third baseman Nolan Arenado and right fielder Charlie Blackmon, who’ve collectively swatted 49 home runs. Arenado is slashing .308/.391/.592 with 28 home runs, 80 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Blackmon has a .284 average with 21 homers, 49 RBIs and 81 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 3.89 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.61 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 10.2 K/9.
The Milwaukee hitters have put up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .284/.338/.464 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the Brewers’ offense this year. Yelich is hitting .321/.383/.531 with 16 home runs, 58 RBIs, 75 runs and 13 steals, while Cain’s line is .299/.393/.425 with eight homers, 30 RBIs, 55 runs and 19 stolen bases.
The Rockies have gained 4.9 units and are 30-34 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 34 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 14.8 units and are 47-38 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 35 of those games, compared to 47 that went under the total.
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Colorado has tallied 18 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Milwaukee has 21 XBH over its last five.
Milwaukee has recorded 22.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 26.0 over its last five.
The Rockies have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit eight over their last 10.
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