The Philadelphia Phillies will play host to the Colorado Rockies at Citizens Bank Park. Fox Sports Sun will showcase this NL matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 1:05 p.m. ET.
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (-125) is hosting this game as the favorite over Colorado (+115) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. The game’s runline odds sit at -180 for taking the Rockies +1.5 runs and +160 for the Phillies -1.5.
The Phillies are 34-31 straight up (SU) and 29-35 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 3.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 11.8 units (ATS). Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Rockies have gone 33-34 SU this year and are 31-35 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 2.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 3.8 units ATS. Colorado is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven.
Philadelphia games have had an over/under record of 28-32-4 so far in 2018. The Rockies have an over/under record of 30-33-3.
The right-handed German Marquez is projected to start for the visiting Rockies. Marquez is 4-6 with a 4.79 ERA and 66 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 1.50 ERA and six strikeouts over six innings).
The Phillies will put the ball in the right hand of Vince Velasquez (4-7, 4.95 ERA), who has 83 strikeouts and 24 walks this season as well as a 1.38 WHIP. Velasquez made two starts against the Rockies in 2017, putting together a 0-0 record with a 2.70 ERA and 10 strikeouts.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.74, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 3.88 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .190/.271/.333 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ batters have been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is slashing .283/.345/.429 with seven home runs, 33 RBIs and 28 runs scored, and Hernandez is hitting .260 with seven homers, 22 RBIs, 44 runs and 10 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.60 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.32 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.21, along with a K/9 of 8.95.
Rockies hitters have slashed .247/.318/.409 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 5.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Colorado’s hitters have been paced by outfielder Charlie Blackmon and third baseman Nolan Arenado, who have combined to blast 25 home runs. Blackmon is hitting .288/.367/.508 with 13 home runs, 31 RBIs and 50 runs scored, while Arenado (.305/.399/.532) is up to 12 homers, 37 RBIs and 41 runs scored.
The Rockies have gained 1.1 units and are 19-23 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 21 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 1.5 units and are 21-25 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 20 of those games, compared to 23 that went under the total.
Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in six of Colorado’s last seven games.
The Rockies have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
Philadelphia has recorded 15.1 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 contests and 15.2 over its last five.
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