The Colorado Rockies are paying a visit to PETCO Park to do battle against their divisional rival San Diego Padres. The action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET and fans can watch the game on ATRM and FSSD.
Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres Odds
Vegas has listed San Diego (-110) as the favorite over Colorado (+100). The total sits at 7.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -120 and the under for +100. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at -210 for the Rockies +1.5 runs and +175 for the Padres -1.5.
The Padres are 16-26 SU and 18-23 ATS. They’ve lost 6.2 units for moneyline bettors and 11.3 units against the spread (ATS). The Rockies are 22-19 SU and have gone 22-18 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 5.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season and 5.5 units ATS.
San Diego games have had an over/under record of 18-21-2 so far in 2018. The Rockies have been a decent under bet with a total record of 15-23-2.
Tyler Anderson is getting the nod for Colorado. The left-handed Anderson is 2-1 with a 4.23 ERA and 40 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against San Diego this year (two starts).
The Padres are putting the ball in the left hand of Joey Lucchesi (3-2, 2.98 ERA), who has 46 strikeouts and 14 walks this season as well as a 1.20 WHIP. Lucchesi is 1-0 with 15 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Colorado this year.
San Diego’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 5.05, a WHIP of 1.56 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.7. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 3.17, a WHIP of 1.20 and a K/9 of 9.7. In 26 games against NL West opponents, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.65 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.79.
The San Diego offense has produced 3.7 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .232/.317/.339 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Padres’ batters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and right fielder Franchy Cordero. Hosmer is slashing .262/.363/.462 with five home runs, 13 RBIs and 19 runs scored, and Cordero’s line sits at .271/.350/.486 with six homers, 17 RBIs, 14 runs and five stolen bases.
Hosmer did not do as well hitting against lefty pitching at home last season, slashing .224/.274/.357 across 106 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .318/.385/.498).
For the visitors, Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.15 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.43 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.77, along with a K-per-9 of 9.28.
Rockies hitters have slashed .231/.309/.403 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Colorado’s offensive production been powered by third baseman Nolan Arenado and outfielder Charlie Blackmon, who collectively have blasted 19 home runs. Arenado is slashing .313/.405/.588 with eight home runs, 22 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Blackmon (.275/.375/.558) is up to 11 homers, 21 RBIs and 31 runs scored.
Maintaining a slash line of .408/.477/.803 across 86 such plate appearances, Arenado enjoyed hitting against left-handed pitchers on the road in 2017 (compared to his total season slash line of .309/.373/.586).
The Rockies have lost 2.0 units and are 10-7 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Padres have netted 0.8 units and are 6-8 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in seven of those games, as opposed to seven that’ve gone under.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in six of Colorado’s last seven games.
San Diego has recorded 17.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.6 over its last five.
The Rockies have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit five over their last 10.
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