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Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick

Jon Gray (0-0, 6.00 ERA) and the Colorado Rockies (53-78) go up against Chase Anderson (6-5, 4.22 ERA) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (65-68) in the last of a four-game division series at Coors Field. The Diamondbacks won the last game 5-3 and Arizona leads the series 2-1. The game starts at 8:40 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Sep. 2 and will air on RTRM and FSAZ.

In his last start, Gray pitched 4.1 innings, allowing three runs, striking out six and walking two in a 5-3 loss to the Pirates. Nolan Arenado (.280, 77 Rs, 32 HRs, 98 RBIs, 1 SB) played well again yesterday, going 3 for 4 with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs. The Diamondbacks were unsuccessful to the Athletics 6-4 the last time Anderson pitched. He went 6.0 innings, giving up two runs, striking out three and walking one. Paul Goldschmidt (.322, 85 Rs, 27 HRs, 97 RBIs, 21 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.

Colorado is favored by a slight -110 margin in its matchup against Arizona. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at 10 runs. When playing as the favorite, the Rockies have a 14-19 record and overall money line at -1,476. They have struggled as the favorite over their last 10 games, going 0-1. The Rockies come into the game with the NL’s top ranked home scoring offense, averaging 5.4 runs per game in their own ballpark. The Rockies are an exceptional hitting team with 9.1 hits per game, one of the highest marks in the NL. Colorado’s pitchers struggle within their division. The Rockies have given up an average of 5.9 runs to intra-division opponents, well over their defense’s season average of 5.3.

On the other side, the Diamondbacks have a record of 37-41 when they are the underdog and are -181 overall with the money line. Against divisional foes, they are 24-27 SU and 15-17 as the underdog. They sport the top-ranked offense in the NL, averaging 4.5 runs per game. The top hitting team in the NL are the Diamondbacks, who average 9.3 hits per game. Arizona is a terror on the base paths, ranking second in the MLB with 113 stolen bases.

The Diamondbacks have mostly come out on top against the Rockies in their previous 15 games this season, earning a 10-5 record. This game will feature Anderson (RHP) on the mound against the Rockies, who have a 48-55 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Gray will take the mound against the Diamondbacks, who have a 49-49 record against righty starters this season.

Predictions: SU Winner – Ari, O/U – Over

Notes

Colorado recorded at least two errors for the 15th time this season.

The Rockies are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded four strikeouts. The Diamondbacks have a record of 5-4 when opponents’ pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.

It looks like the Diamondbacks have a slight leg up on the Rockies, as the Diamondbacks have won their last two games while the Rockies have lost their last two.

When they outhit their opponents, the Diamondbacks are 45-17. The Rockies have a 41-15 record when outhitting opponents.

Both falling in the top five of the league based on total runs this season, Colorado ranks fifth with 585 runs and Arizona is third with 599.

Ranking 26th, Colorado is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 314 this season. Arizona ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 402.

The Rockies are 44-45 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Diamondbacks are 47-26 when they hit at least one homer.

Written by GMS Previews

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