The Miami Marlins are playing host to the Colorado Rockies at Marlins Park. This NL matchup begins at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans can watch the game on both ATRM and FSFL.
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Colorado (-115) is the favorite over Miami (+105) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. You can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at +130 for the Rockies -1.5 runs and -150 for the Marlins +1.5.
The Rockies are 15-13 SU and are 14-13 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 3.2 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 1.1 units ATS. Colorado is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 8-18 SU and 11-14 ATS. They’ve lost 3.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.7 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Marlins games have had an over/under record of 13-12 so far in 2018. The Rockies have an over/under record of 12-13-2.
The right-handed Chad Bettis will get the nod for the visiting Rockies. Bettis is 3-0 with a 2.40 ERA and 20 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Marlins are going with lefty Caleb Smith (0-3, 5.82 ERA), who has 32 strikeouts and 15 walks, as well as a 1.52 WHIP. Smith did not record a start against the Rockies in 2017.
Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.63, a WHIP of 1.37 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 5.38 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 10.2 K/9.
The Miami hitters have produced 3.3 runs per contest, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .227/.311/.366 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Marlins’ batters have been led by first baseman Justin Bour and third baseman Brian Anderson. Bour is slashing .250/.357/.417 with four home runs, 13 RBIs and eight runs scored, while Anderson is hitting .245 with 23 hits, 12 RBIs and 10 runs.
Anderson performed well against right-handed pitching at home last season. Across 40 such plate appearances, he slashed .303/.425/.455 (his total season line was .262/.337/.369).
In the visiting dugout, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.44 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.44 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.89, along with a WHIP of 1.40.
The Rockies offense has slashed .227/.306/.390 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Colorado’s hitters have been led by outfielder Charlie Blackmon and third baseman Nolan Arenado, who collectively have launched 13 home runs. Blackmon is slashing .281/.360/.618 with nine home runs, 16 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Arenado is hitting .316/.421/.544 with four homers, 12 RBIs and 12 runs scored.
Blackmon did not perform especially well against left-handed pitchers on the road in 2017. Over 120 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .261/.317/.387 (his total season line was .331/.399/.601).
The Marlins have lost 3.3 units and are 7-11 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in nine of those games, as opposed to nine that’ve hit the under against righty starters.
Colorado Rockies at Miami Marlins Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The Rockies have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit 10 over their last 10.
Colorado has posted 19.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.6 over its last five.
The Marlins have won three of their last four games SU.
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