The Colorado Rockies will play the New York Mets at Citi Field. This NL matchup will get underway at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to SportsNet New York.
Colorado Rockies at New York Mets Odds
New York (-190) is favored over Colorado (+180) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 7.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Rockies +1.5 runs (-125) and Mets +-1.5 runs (+105).
The Mets are 17-14 SU and 15-15 ATS. The team’s gained 2.9 units for moneyline bettors and 1.1 units against the spread (ATS). The Rockies have gone 19-15 SU this year and are 18-15 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 4.5 units for moneyline gamblers through the early portions of the year and 3.1 units ATS.
New York games have had an over/under record of 16-13-1 so far in 2018. Colorado has an over/under record of 14-17-2.
The left-handed Kyle Freeland will get the nod for the visiting Rockies. Freeland is 1-4 with a 4.24 ERA and 30 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Mets are turning to righty Noah Syndergaard (2-1, 3.10 ERA), who’s got 49 strikeouts and six walks as well as a 1.13 WHIP. Syndergaard did not record a start against the Rockies in 2017.
New York’s pitchers have yielded 4.6 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starters have a 4.42 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.86 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
The New York hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.4 per game over its last 10 games and 1.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .199/.244/.301 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that span.
The Mets’ batters have been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and third baseman Todd Frazier. Cabrera is hitting .336/.386/.588 with six home runs, 20 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Frazier’s line sits at .255/.382/.443 with five homers, 20 RBIs and 18 runs.
Cabrera did not perform very well against left-handed pitchers at home last year, slashing .268/.288/.286 in 59 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .280/.351/.434).
In the visiting dugout, Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.89 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.27 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.89, along with a WHIP of 1.27 and a K/9 of 9.47.
Rockies hitters have slashed .228/.305/.393 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game this year, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Colorado’s hitters have been powered by right fielder Charlie Blackmon and third baseman Nolan Arenado, who’ve collectively belted 19 home runs. Blackmon is hitting .294/.398/.624 with 11 home runs, 20 RBIs and 27 runs scored, while Arenado is hitting .321/.407/.623 with eight homers, 21 RBIs and 18 runs scored.
Putting up a slash line of .284/.346/.476 across 254 such plate appearances, Blackmon did not perform especially well against right-handed pitchers on the road last season (compared to his overall season slash line of .331/.399/.601).
The Rockies have gained 9.7 units and are 11-8 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 10 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have netted 1.9 units and are 5-3 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in three of those games, compared to five that went under the total.
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in four of New York’s last seven games.
The Mets have lost six of their last seven games SU.
Colorado has posted 19.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.4 over its last five.
The Rockies have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
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