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Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres Free Pick 08/30/18

Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The Colorado Rockies will pay a visit to San Diego to face their division rival Padres at PETCO Park. The matchup begins at 10:10 p.m. ET and fans can watch the game on ATRM and FSSD.

Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres Odds

The Rockies have gone 72-60 SU this year and are 68-64 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 13.2 units for moneyline bettors and 3.1 units ATS. Colorado’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 52-83 SU and 63-71 ATS. They’ve lost 18.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 28.1 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Padres games have an over/under record of 64-65-5 in 2018. The Rockies have been a good under bet with a total record of 57-69-6.

The right-handed German Marquez is projected to start for the visiting Rockies. Marquez (11-9, 4.21 ERA) has racked up 160 strikeouts in 149.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA against San Diego this year (two starts).

The Padres will turn to Eric Lauer (5-7, 5.30 ERA), who has 75 strikeouts and 37 walks to his credit as well as a 1.71 WHIP. Lauer is 0-1 with three strikeouts and an 18.00 ERA in one start against Colorado this year.

Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.37 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.42 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.92, along with a WHIP of 1.30.

The Rockies offense has slashed .255/.322/.431 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Trevor Story and third baseman Nolan Arenado continue to lead Colorado’s offense. Story is slashing .291/.347/.538 with 26 home runs, 85 RBIs, 68 runs and 21 stolen bases, while Arenado is hitting .305 with 31 homers, 91 RBIs and 83 runs scored.

For the home team, San Diego’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 5.16 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.56 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 10.0 K/9. In 58 games against NL West foes, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.74 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.47.

The San Diego hitters have put up 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .264/.295/.440 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Padres’ batters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis. Hosmer is hitting .253/.315/.391 with 13 home runs, 56 RBIs and 59 runs scored, and the line for Galvis stands at .240/.294/.370 with 11 homers, 56 RBIs and 49 runs.

The Padres have lost 4.3 units and are 47-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 40 of those games, compared to 48 that’ve hit the under against righties.

Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Colorado has tallied 20 extra-base hits over its last five outings. San Diego has 17 XBH over its last five.

Colorado has posted 23.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.8 over its last five.

Both teams have hit 12 home runs over their last 10 games.

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Written by GMS Previews

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