The Colorado Rockies will be taking on their divisional rival San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. The game will start at 10:10 p.m. ET and the matchup will be televised on either ATRM or FSSD.
Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres Odds
San Diego (+125) is coming into this one as the underdog against Colorado (-135) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). You can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Rockies -1.5 runs (+110) and Padres +1.5 runs (-130).
The Padres are 53-83 straight up (SU) and 64-71 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 17.0 units for moneyline bettors and 27.1 units (ATS). San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Rockies have gone 72-61 SU this year and are 68-64 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 13.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.1 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Padres games have had an over/under record of 65-65-5 in 2018. The Rockies have been a decent under bet with a total record of 57-69-6.
Antonio Senzatela is getting the nod for Colorado. The right-handed Senzatela is 4-4 with a 5.24 ERA and 42 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 6.14 ERA against San Diego this year.
The Padres will turn to Brett Kennedy (0-2, 7.58 ERA) to the mound. Kennedy has 14 strikeouts and six walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.95. Kennedy hasn’t faced the Rockies yet this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.
Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.34 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.49 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.89, along with a K/9 of 8.89.
Rockies hitters have slashed .253/.320/.427 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Colorado’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Trevor Story and third baseman Nolan Arenado, who’ve collectively blasted 57 home runs. Story is hitting .289/.346/.534 with 26 home runs, 85 RBIs, 70 runs and 21 steals, while Arenado is hitting .302 with 31 homers, 91 RBIs and 83 runs scored.
For the home team, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.12, a WHIP of 1.48 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 3.52 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 10.0 K/9. In 59 games against NL West opponents, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.64 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.39.
The San Diego offense has put up 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .260/.294/.432 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Padres’ offense has been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis. Hosmer is hitting .251/.314/.388 with 13 home runs, 56 RBIs and 59 runs scored, while the line for Galvis stands at .239/.294/.367 with 11 homers, 57 RBIs and 49 runs.
The Padres have lost 3.3 units and are 48-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 41 of those games, as opposed to 48 that’ve gone under against righties.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Colorado has recorded 17 extra-base hits over its last five contests. San Diego has 16 XBH over its last five.
Colorado fielders have eight errors over the last 10 games, compared to 13 errors for San Diego over its last 10.
The Rockies have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 13 over their last 10.
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