The Colorado Rockies will face their NL West foe San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. The action begins at 3:40 p.m. ET and you can watch it on either ATRM or FSSD.
Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres Odds
Colorado (-125) is favored over San Diego (+115) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at +120 for the Rockies -1.5 runs and -140 for the Padres +1.5.
The Padres are just 16-27 SU and 19-23 ATS. They’ve lost 5.0 units for moneyline bettors and 10.3 units against the spread (ATS). San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Rockies are 23-19 SU and have gone 22-19 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 4.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline over the early portions of the year and 4.5 units ATS. Colorado is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.
Padres games have an over/under record of 18-22-2 thus far in 2018. The Rockies have been a decent under bet with a total record of 15-24-2.
German Marquez is getting the start for the visiting Rockies. The right-handed Marquez is 2-4 with a 5.35 ERA and 38 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against San Diego this year (three starts).
The Padres will put the ball in the right hand of Jordan Lyles (0-1, 3.28 ERA, 1.09 WHIP), who’s got 22 strikeouts and eight walks. Lyles is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 2.84 ERA across zero starts against Colorado this year.
As a unit, San Diego’s pitching staff has yielded 4.8 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 5.05, a WHIP of 1.55 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 3.26 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 27 divisional games, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.64 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.94.
The San Diego offense has put up 3.7 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .227/.304/.343 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Padres’ hitters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Christian Villanueva. Hosmer is hitting .264/.366/.466 with five home runs, 14 RBIs and 19 runs scored, and Villanueva’s line is .227/.308/.496 with nine homers, 20 RBIs and 17 runs.
Hosmer enjoyed batting against right-handed pitching at home last year, slashing .354/.439/.615 over 221 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .318/.385/.498).
In the visiting dugout, Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.17 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.34 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.66, along with a WHIP of 1.33 and a K/9 of 9.38.
Rockies hitters have slashed .233/.310/.407 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Third baseman Nolan Arenado and right fielder Charlie Blackmon have led Colorado’s hitters. Arenado is slashing .326/.418/.593 with eight home runs, 23 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Blackmon (.275/.376/.549) is up to 11 homers, 21 RBIs and 31 runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .309/.373/.586, Arenado seemed to take a step back when hitting righties on the road last year, putting up a slash line of .243/.316/.443 across 263 such plate appearances.
The Rockies have gained 6.0 units and are 12-12 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 5.8 units and are 13-15 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, compared to 15 that went under the total.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
San Diego has recorded 19 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19 over its last five.
The Rockies have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
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