Kyle Kendrick (1-2, 7.56 ERA) and the Colorado Rockies (7-7) meet James Shields (2-0, 2.84 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (10-5) in the third of a four-game division series at Coors Field. The Rockies lost the last game 7-6, extending a five-game losing streak. The game gets underway at 8:40 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Apr. 22 and will air on FSN-SD and ROOT-RM.
Kendrick has a 4.08 ERA and a 4-2 record in his career against the Padres, and is up against a solid San Diego offense that’s hitting .286 on the year. Nolan Arenado (.311, 10 Rs, 3 HRs, 10 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. In his career against the Rockies, Shields is 2-1 with a 3.79 ERA. He meets a strong Colorado offense that’s batting .267. Matt Kemp (.361, 12 Rs, 1 HR, 14 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Colorado, a +119 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against San Diego. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at 10 runs. The Rockies have a winning record of 6-3 when playing as the underdog and an overall money line of +139. They have an SU record of 3-4 against teams in their division and a 3-3 record when they were the underdog in those games. The Rockies have one of the most prolific home offenses in the entire NL, averaging 4.5 runs per game. The Rockies lead the NL in hits at home with 10.8 per game. Colorado’s pitchers struggle within their division. The Rockies have given up an average of 5.3 runs to intra-division opponents, well over their defense’s season average of 4.5.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Padres come into this game with a solid win percentage of .714 when playing as the favorite (5-2) and an overall money line of +396. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 8-2 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 5-1 record. The Padres rank second in the NL in scoring, averaging 5.2 runs per game. San Diego is the top hitting team in the NL with an average of 10.1 hits per contest.
The previous two games have all gone San Diego’s way. The Rockies will take on a right-hander (Shields) in this game and have a 6-5 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Kendrick will take the mound against the Padres, who have a 6-4 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – SD, O/U – Over
Notes
In their last game, the Padres won by a margin of one run. The Rockies are 1-2 in one-run games. The Padres have a 4-2 record in close games.
The Rockies are 1-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Padres are 0-2 in such matchups.
The Padres are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Rockies have a 3-3 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 0-4. The Rockies have a 1-5 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 17th in home runs, Colorado has hit 12 this season. San Diego ranks 10th with 14 home runs.
Ranking first in hits, San Diego has earned 10.07 per game this season. Colorado ranks third with 9.46 hits.
Ranking ninth, Colorado is in the top 10 of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.736). San Diego ranks in the top five at fifth with an OPS of .779.
The Padres are 5-3 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Rockies are 2-6 when they allow at least one homer.
