Tyler Matzek (1-0, 1.80 ERA) and Brandon Morrow (0-0, 1.29 ERA) take the hill in the second of a four-game series between the Colorado Rockies (7-6) and the San Diego Padres (9-5) at Coors Field. The Padres won the last game 14-3 and San Diego leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 8:40 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Apr. 21 and can be seen on FSN-SD and ROOT-RM.
Matzek is 1-3 with a 3.67 ERA in his appearances against the Padres, and goes up against a quality San Diego offense which is batting .281 this season. DJ LeMahieu (.444, 3 Rs, 1 HR, 8 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Morrow is 0-1 with a 2.00 ERA when pitching against the Rockies. He is up against a good Colorado offense which is hitting .271 this season. Matt Kemp (.368, 12 Rs, 1 HR, 13 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Padres, going 3 for 4 yesterday with three runs and four RBIs.
Colorado is a -121 favorite against San Diego and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at 10 runs. Though the Rockies have had a solid season in terms of their overall money line (+283), they’ve done poorly as a favorite with a record of 1-2. The Rockies have no trouble scoring as they rank third in the NL in home offense with 5.0 runs per game. The Rockies lead the NL in hits at home with an impressive 11.3 per game.
In games where it is the underdog, San Diego has a 3-3 record and an overall money line of +262. Despite an underwhelming record as the underdog against NL West rivals (1-2), they pulled off an impressive 6-4 SU record. Offensively, they average five runs per game on the road, which is third in the NL. The Padres have a dynamic offense, ranking second in the league with 47 extra base hits. The Padres have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 10.0 strikeouts per road game.
The Padres have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Rockies have a 6-4 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Morrow takes the mound.
Predictions: SU Winner – SD, O/U – Over
Notes
In their last game, the Padres won by a margin of 11 runs. The Rockies are 1-1 in games decided by a margin of 10 runs or more. The Padres have a 1-0 record in blowouts.
When the Rockies play into extra innings, they have a 1-1 record. The Padres are 0-2 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Padres are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded six strikeouts. The Rockies have a record of 4-2 when opponents’ pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 0-4. The Rockies have a 1-4 record when opponents outhit them.
Colorado ranks in the bottom half of the league at 16th when it comes to home runs, hitting 11 this season. San Diego ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 13.
Colorado and San Diego both rank in the top five of the league in hits. Colorado sits at third with 9.50 hits per game and San Diego ranks second with 9.54.
Colorado and San Diego both rank in the top 10 of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Colorado sits at seventh with an OPS of .740 and San Diego ranks sixth with an OPS of .760.
The Padres are 4-3 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Rockies are 2-5 when they allow at least one homer.
