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Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants MLB Pick

Chad Bettis (6-4, 4.78 ERA) and the Colorado Rockies (56-78) meet Jake Peavy (4-6, 4.38 ERA) and the San Francisco Giants (69-66) in the third of a four-game division series at Coors Field. The Giants lost the last game 2-1, extending a seven-game losing streak. The game starts at 8:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Sep. 5 and will air on RTRM and CSBy.

In his last start, Bettis pitched 6.0 innings, giving up four runs and striking out four in a 5-4 loss to the Diamondbacks. Nolan Arenado (.288, 81 Rs, 35 HRs, 103 RBIs, 1 SB) played well again yesterday, going 3 for 4 with one run, one home run, and one RBI. The Giants were unsuccessful to the Dodgers 5-4 the last time Peavy pitched. He went 5.2 innings, allowing four runs and striking out four. Buster Posey (.324, 63 Rs, 16 HRs, 80 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday.

Colorado is a small underdog (+100) and the Over/Under (O/U) is 11 runs. The Rockies have a losing record of 39-59 when playing as the underdog and an overall money line of -1,476. They have not performed well against their division, earning an SU record of 21-33 and a 16-25 record when they were the underdog. The Rockies have the most prolific home offense in the entire NL, averaging 5.5 runs per game. The Rockies are a superb hitting team with an NL-best 10.7 hits per home game. The most recent 10 game stretch for Colorado’s pitching staff has gone great. Over that span, Colorado’s opponents are averaging 3.5 runs per game, below their season average of 5.3.

Moving on to the opposing team, the Giants come into this game with a win percentage of .574 when playing as the favorite (39-29) and an overall money line of -146. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 3-7 SU and have an unblemished 3-0 record when they were the favorite. They sport the fourth-ranked offense in the NL, averaging 4.2 runs per game. San Francisco is one of the top hitting teams in the NL with an average of 9.2 hits per contest. The Giants average just 7.1 strikeouts per game, one of the lowest marks in the NL. Switching gears to San Francisco’s pitching staff, they allow just 2.6 walks per game, fifth-best in the NL.

The Rockies have gotten the best of the Giants in head-to-head matchups this season, going 9-5. This game will feature Peavy (RHP) on the mound against the Rockies, who have a 50-56 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Giants will be the right-hander Bettis. They sport a 52-49 record against righties.

Predictions: SU Winner – SF, O/U – Over

Notes

In their last game, the Giants lost by a margin of one run. The Rockies are 17-20 in one-run games. The Giants have a 16-22 record in close games.

The Rockies are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Giants have a 4-6 record when opponents give up that many walks.

The Rockies are coming into the game with three consecutive wins, while the Giants currently have a losing streak of seven.

When they outhit their opponents, the Rockies are 43-15. The Giants have a 60-11 record when outhitting opponents.

Ranking 13th, San Francisco sits in the top half of the league in runs, scoring 570 this season. Colorado ranks in the top five at fifth with 607.

Ranking 27th, Colorado is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 317 this season. San Francisco ranks in the bottom half at 18th with 366.

The Rockies are 47-45 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Giants are 47-24 when they hit at least one homer.

Written by GMS Previews

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