The Arkansas Razorbacks (5-2) meet the Colorado State Rams (4-2) at Bud Walton Arena. The game gets underway at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 5, 2017.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 155.5 points with Arkansas opening as a 16.5-point favorite.
Colorado State Rams vs. Arkansas Razorbacks ATS Prediction
In the Rams’ last outing, they topped the Colorado Buffaloes, 72-63. The Rams knocked down 21 of their 29 free throws (72.4 percent) and held the Buffaloes to an offensive rebounding percentage of 21.4 (below their season average of 32.6). Colorado State rallied around J.D. Paige, who contributed 16 points and seven rebounds.
The Razorbacks lost big to the Houston Cougars in their last game, 91-65. Houston’s 0.607 effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Arkansas, who had a rate of 0.400. The Cougars’ mark was above their season average of 0.548, while the Razorbacks’ was below their season average of 0.558. With 13 points, Anton Beard put together a good game for Arkansas.
Arkansas could put on a ball-control clinic in this battle. Since the 2016-17 season, Arkansas ranks 43rd in the NCAA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 16.6 percent), while Colorado State has forced the 66th-fewest turnovers (17.4 percent). Also, the Rams, who rank 46th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.287), could earn plenty of trips to the line against the Razorbacks, who rank 263rd in opponents’ FTA rate (0.269).
Colorado State has a solid 4-2 straight up (SU) record, but they are just 1-4 against the spread (ATS). Rams games have typically gone under the total (60.0 percent).
Meanwhile, Arkansas owns records of 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS. Unlike Colorado State, games featuring the Razorbacks have a tendency to go over the total (57.1 percent).
Colorado State Rams at Arkansas Razorbacks ATS Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Arkansas, ATS Winner – Colorado State, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes (2016-Present):
Colorado State averages 38.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 40th in the NCAA. Arkansas ranks 220th in rebounds allowed per game (36.3).
The Razorbacks rank 131st in assists per game (14.0) while the Rams rank 301st (11.0).
Arkansas ranks 34th in steals per game (7.6) while Colorado State ranks 171st (6.1).
The Rams rank 180th in three pointers attempted per game (20.9) while the Razorbacks rank 291st (18.0).
Arkansas ranks 37th in blocks per game (4.7) while Colorado State ranks 130th (3.5).
