The New Mexico Lobos battle the Colorado State Rams this week in a game that will feature the MWC’s second-leading passer, Nick Stevens (2,020 yards, 19 TDs). New Mexico (6-4) will look to keep up its recent momentum after winning three of its last four. The game kicks off Saturday, Nov 21 at 5:30 p.m. ET and will be shown on ROOT.
In last week’s game, New Mexico defeated Boise State 31-24. Jhurell Pressley had a huge game on the ground in the victory, gaining 132 yards and one TD on nine carries. Delane Hart-Johnson had 81 receiving yards on one catch. Colorado State managed to get the win as well, beating UNLV 49-35. Rashard Higgins had an outstanding performance for the Rams, pulling in seven passes for 102 yards and three TDs. Dalyn Dawkins had a big game as well, totaling 151 rushing yards on 19 attempts.
The Lobos are slender underdogs with Colorado State favored by two in the game. For this contest, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently not available.
The Lobos enter the game with records of 6-4 Straight Up (SU) and 5-5 Against The Spread (ATS) this season. In the past five games, New Mexico is 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS. A focal point of New Mexico’s offense is the running game, which ranks 13th in the country with 233.5 rushing yards per game. Turning to the Lobos defense, there are several areas to keep an eye on. An important aspect of the game will be if the Rams can fend off New Mexico’s ability to take the ball away. The Lobos currently rank 17th in the nation with two turnovers per game.
In the other locker room, the Rams head into Week 12 with records of 5-5 for both ATS and SU. Over their last five games, the Rams have a SU and ATS record of 3-2 for those betting with them. Colorado State’s defense ranks in the top half of the nation for passing yards allowed and will look to bolster its statistics this week against the 122nd-ranked passing attack of the Lobos, which only averages 136.5 yards through the air per game.
Predictions: SU Winner – New Mexico, ATS Winner – New Mexico
Notes
New Mexico is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
New Mexico is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Mexico’s last 5 games.
New Mexico is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home.
New Mexico is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home.
New Mexico is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado State.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico’s last 6 games when playing Colorado State.
Colorado State is 5-0 SU when leading at the start of the 4th quarter this season. New Mexico is 4-0 SU when carrying a lead into the fourth quarter.
Remarkably, New Mexico is winless (0-2 SU) in games where it wins the turnover battle, yet undefeated (5-0 SU) when losing the turnover battle.
Colorado State holds the upper hand in the passing game, according to overall FBS ratings. Its offensive passing game (ranked 58th in the nation) will face the 85th-ranked pass defense of New Mexico, while its 36th-ranked pass defense will look to limit the 122nd-ranked aerial attack of the Lobos.
