The Dallas Mavericks will travel to Philips Arena to square off against the Atlanta Hawks. The game starts at 8:00 pm ET on Monday, Feb. 1 and will air on FxS and FSW.
The Hawks beat the Nuggets 119-105 in their last game. Paul Millsap was the game’s high scorer with 22 points on 8-for-15 shooting. The Mavericks, meanwhile, are coming off a 92-90 win over the Lakers in their last outing. Chandler Parsons stood out, posting 17 points, nine rebounds, and four assists.
Parsons has been on a tear over the last five games for the Mavericks, averaging 24.0 points, 6.6 rebounds, 3.0 assists, 0.8 steals, and 3.6 three-pointers.
Based on each team’s statistical profile, the turnover story could loom large in this showdown. Dallas commits the third-fewest errors in the NBA (turnover percentage of 13.1%), while Atlanta’s gambling defense causes the second-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 16.3%).
This will be the second matchup of the season between these two teams. The Hawks won the first game 98-95. Millsap put up 20 points and 11 rebounds.
The Hawks, a seven-point favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Dallas. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at 200 points. The Hawks are attempting to build on their records of 27-22 Straight Up (SU) and 22-25-2 Against The Spread (ATS). They have gone 11-9 SU and 9-11 ATS against teams from the Western Conference. Atlanta has been steady from the free throw line, shooting a stellar .793. Few teams in the league have a higher assist-to-turnover ratio than Atlanta, which ranks fourth at 1.78. Something to watch out for is if Atlanta can force its opponents into turnovers and convert them into baskets. They’ve done an excellent job of that all year with an average of 19.9 points off turnovers per game to lead the league.
On the other side, Dallas has a SU record of 28-22 and an ATS record of 29-20-1. In Eastern Conference games, Dallas has gone 10-9 SU and 10-8-1 ATS.
With the Hawks’ last win against Dallas, their SU record rises to 6-4 over the Mavericks in the last 10 meetings. Additionally, the Hawks lead the matchup ATS with a record of 6-4.
Predictions: SU Winner – Atl, ATS Winner – Atl, O/U – Under
Notes
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta’s last 9 games.
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 9 games at home.
Atlanta is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games when playing Dallas.
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas.
Dallas ranks 18th in points per game with 100.7, while Atlanta ranks eighth in points allowed with an average of 100.0 given up.
Dallas ranks 19th in points per away game with 98.8 points, while Atlanta ranks sixth in points allowed at home with 97.5.
In games where they allow fewer than 100 points, the Atlanta Hawks are a winning 16-7. In games where they fail to hit triple digits, the Dallas Mavericks have a losing record of 7-15.
When the Atlanta Hawks allow at least 100 points they are 11-12, while the Dallas Mavericks are 19-6 when they register triple digits.
The Mavericks have a defensive rating of 103.0 (ranked 14th). The Hawks rank 10th for their offensive rating of 104.0.
The Atlanta Hawks average 98.5 possessions and 1.040 points per possession in games this season. The Dallas Mavericks average fewer possessions with 97.7, as well as fewer points per possession with 1.033.
Atlanta is among the top-ranked teams based on its average effective field goal percentage of 51.5% (ranked fifth in the NBA). Dallas is a poor 5-13 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.
The Atlanta Hawks, ranked second in the NBA, average 25.6 assists per game. The Dallas Mavericks make 21.7 assists (ranked 15th)
The Atlanta Hawks average 5.6 blocks per game for a rank of ninth. The Dallas Mavericks rank lower (30th), earning 3.7 blocks each game.
The Atlanta Hawks rank 30th in offensive rebounding, while the Dallas Mavericks rank sixth in defensive rebounding.
The Atlanta Hawks earn an average of 9.6 steals per game and are ranked third. The Dallas Mavericks have a 12-8 record when they allow at least 9 steals.
