The Golden State Warriors (41-4) look to extend their 21-game home winning streak in a matchup against the Dallas Mavericks (26-21). The game starts at 10:30 pm ET on Wednesday, Jan. 27 and will air on ESP and GS2.
The Warriors easily got past the Spurs 120-90 on Monday. Stephen Curry led all scorers on the team with 37 points on 12-for-20 shooting. The Mavericks, meanwhile, are coming off a 92-90 win over the Lakers on Tuesday. Chandler Parsons played well, recording 17 points, nine rebounds, and four assists.
Curry has really been playing well as of late for the Warriors, averaging 34.8 points, 6.2 rebounds, 7.0 assists, 2.6 steals, and 6.2 three-pointers over the last five games. On the other side, the Mavericks have been led by Parsons. He has been on a tear, averaging 24.0 points, 6.6 rebounds, 3.0 assists, 0.8 steals, and 3.6 three-pointers in the same time frame.
This will be the second matchup of the season between these two teams. The Mavericks won the first game 114-91. J.J. Barea scored a game-high 23 points.
The Warriors are a considerable 13-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is 216 points. The Warriors look to build on their records of 41-4 Straight Up (SU) and 25-18-2 Against The Spread (ATS). They have a record of 25-2 SU and 18-8-1 ATS versus the Western Conference. The Warriors have the most prolific offense in the entire league, averaging 114.8 points per game. The Warriors are an impressive three-point shooting team with an NBA-best 575 made (12.0 per game). The Warriors have a distinct advantage on the boards in this matchup. They are the fourth-ranked rebounding team in the NBA, averaging 46.8 per game, while the Mavericks rank 16th in the league with 43.3 per game. No team in the league has a higher assist-to-turnover ratio than Golden State, which tops the league at 1.92. Turning to the defensive side, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Warriors, who allow a field goal percentage of only .428.
On the other side, the Mavericks head into the game with records of 27-18-1 ATS and 25-21 SU. In Western Conference games, Dallas has gone 16-12 SU and 18-10 ATS.
With the Mavericks’ last win against Golden State, Dallas is still behind in the head-to-head record over the past 10 meetings, 3-7 SU. Additionally, the Warriors lead the matchup ATS with a record of 7-3.
Predictions: SU Winner – GS, ATS Winner – GS, O/U – Under
Notes
Golden State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Golden State’s last 10 games.
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.
Golden State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home.
Golden State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Dallas.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Golden State’s last 11 games when playing Dallas.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State’s last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas.
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas.
Dallas has allowed an average of 101.8 points per away game this season. Golden State averages 113.5 points per home game, placing the team at the top of the NBA in scoring.
In its last game, Golden State won by a 30-point margin. Dallas is 1-4 in games decided by a margin of 18 points or more. Golden State has a 14-2 record in blowouts.
Golden State has a perfect 18-0 record when opponents score fewer than 100 points. The Mavericks do not fare well when they score under 100, earning a 7-15 record in such games.
The Warriors have a 23-4 record when they allow at least 100 points. The Mavericks have also performed well when they reach the century mark with a record of 19-6 in such games.
The Warriors have the league’s top offensive rating (113.1). The Mavericks have a defensive rating of 103.0 (ranked 14th).
The Golden State Warriors average 101.6 possessions and 1.131 points per possession in games this season. The Dallas Mavericks average fewer possessions with 97.7, as well as fewer points per possession with 1.033.
The Golden State Warriors have one of the best effective field goal percentages this season, ranking first in the league with an EFF% of 56.1%. When their opponents record a similar or higher EFF%, the Dallas Mavericks have an underachieving 1-5 record.
Golden State has the best assist to turnover ratio in the NBA this season with 1.92. Dallas ranks slightly lower, at seventh, with an A/TO of 1.70.
The Golden State Warriors are one of the best rebounding teams in the league, earning 46.8 rebounds per game (ranked fourth). The Dallas Mavericks rank 16th, rebounding 43.3 times each game.
Golden State ranks second in defensive rebounding, placing the team near the top of the pack. Dallas, however, ranks 29th in offensive rebounds.
On average, the Mavericks force a turnover rate of 14.0%. When the Warriors turn over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has a fantastic 26-1 record.
