The Brooklyn Nets (21-48) go head-to-head against the Dallas Mavericks (22-47) at Barclays Center. The game can be seen on YES Network at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 17, 2018.
Brooklyn opened as a 2-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 214 points.
Dallas Mavericks at Brooklyn Nets Betting Prediction
In the Mavericks’ last outing, they were beaten by the Toronto Raptors, 122-115. Toronto was effective at getting to and converting from the free throw line. The Raptors made 26 of their 31 free throws (83.9 percent), while the Mavericks were 13-18 (72.2 percent). Harrison Barnes was Dallas’ high scorer with 27 points on 11-for-20 shooting.
The Nets fell to the Philadelphia 76ers in their last matchup, 120-116. Philadelphia’s turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Brooklyn. The 76ers had a rate of 4.5 (better than their season average of 14.7), while the Nets posted a mark of 10.6. Brooklyn’s Rondae Hollis-Jefferson had a solid game, leading the team in scoring with 21 points on 7-for-13 shooting.
It will be a showdown of conflicting styles as the up-and-down Nets will look to push the slower-paced Mavericks. The Nets rank fourth in possessions per game while the Mavericks are 24th. The Mavericks should be expected to protect the ball well. They rank 3rd at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.2 percent), while the Nets force the fewest turnovers in the league (opponents’ turnover percentage of 11.8 percent).
Dallas comes into the game with records of 22-47 straight up (SU) and 35-33 against the spread (ATS). A little over half of the Mavericks’ games have finished under the O/U total.
Although Brooklyn has trouble winning games outright (21-48 SU), they are 38-29-1 ATS. Vegas is known to set the total high when the Nets are involved, as 55.9 percent of their games have ended under the total.
Caris LeVert has averaged 16.0 points, 5.6 assists and 1.8 steals over the last five games for Brooklyn.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. Barnes had 17 points, eight rebounds and six assists in the first matchup, in which the Mavericks lost 109-104, unable to cover as 5.5-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 213 points, which was just 2 points above the projected point total of 211 points. Brooklyn had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (27.5 vs. 15.6). Dallas, meanwhile, did an excellent job of getting and making free throws (17-21; 81.0 percent).
Dallas Mavericks at Brooklyn Nets Odds Pick
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Nets, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Dallas is 18-14 ATS with 18 unders and 14 overs.
Brooklyn is 16-16-1 ATS at home with 20 unders and 13 overs.
Brooklyn is 12-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Dallas is 15-11.
When scoring above 100 points, the Mavericks are 16-23 and the Nets are 17-32.
Dallas ranks fourth in second chance points allowed per game (11.2) while Brooklyn ranks 27th (13.4).
The Mavericks rank fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while the Nets rank 27th (5.7).
Brooklyn ranks sixth in rebounds per game (44.9) while Dallas ranks 27th (41.0).
The Mavericks rank second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.5) while the Nets rank 22nd (46.4).
Dallas ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.1) while Brooklyn ranks 21st (17.4).
The Nets rank first in three pointers allowed per game (24.7) while the Mavericks rank 17th (29.5).
Brooklyn ranks 11th in fast break points allowed per game (11.2) while Dallas ranks 27th (14.2).
The Mavericks rank 22nd in steals per game (7.2) while the Nets rank 29th (6.2).
Brooklyn ranks 11th in assists per game (23.1) while Dallas ranks 14th in assists allowed per game (23.0).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Dallas is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Brooklyn is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Mavericks have outscored opponents by an average of 5.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Dallas has lost by an average of 2.3 points.
During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 108.2 points per game (2.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 116.2 points per game (5.8 above their season average).
—–
