The Detroit Pistons (37-41) square off with the Dallas Mavericks (24-55) at Little Caesars Arena. The game will air on Fox Sports – Detroit at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, April 6, 2018.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Detroit Pistons Free Prediction
The Mavericks are hoping for a better outcome after their 105-100 loss to the Orlando Magic in their last outing. One of Orlando’s largest advantages was getting to the free throw line. They made 27 trips to the line, while Dallas went 17 times. Kyle Collinsworth had a solid game for Dallas, putting up 13 points, nine rebounds and six assists.
In the Pistons’ last matchup, they were beaten by the Philadelphia 76ers, 115-108. Philadelphia’s turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Detroit. The 76ers had a rate of 11.8 (better than their season average of 14.3), while the Pistons posted a mark of 14.8. Detroit’s Ish Smith put up 14 points and 12 assists in the contest.
It could be a tough game for Dallas on the offensive glass. The Mavericks rank 30th in offensive rebounding percentage (17.8 percent), while Detroit ranks ninth in defensive rebounding percentage (78.5 percent).
Dallas heads into the game with records of 24-55 straight up (SU) and 40-39 against the spread (ATS). Mavericks games have a slight tendency to go under the total (53.2 percent).
Meanwhile, Detroit owns records of 37-41 SU and 38-38-2 ATS. Vegas tends to place the total high when the Pistons are involved, as 43 of their 79 games have ended under the projected point total.
Anthony Tolliver has averaged 16.2 points over the last five games for Detroit.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. Harrison Barnes scored a game-high 25 points in the first game, in which the Mavericks defeated the Pistons 110-93, covering as 1-point favorites. He also recorded seven rebounds. The game finished with a total of 203 points, which was 6.5 points above the projected point total of 196.5 points. Dallas was lights out from beyond the arc (14-30; 46.7 percent). Detroit, meanwhile, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (15.4 vs. 11.1).
Dallas Mavericks at Detroit Pistons Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Dallas is 20-19 ATS on the road with 21 unders and 18 overs.
At home, Detroit is 18-20-1 ATS with 19 overs, 19 unders and 1 push.
In games where they allow under 100 points, Detroit is 21-6 and Dallas is 16-13.
The Pistons are 33-18 when they reach the century mark, while the Mavericks are 18-27.
Detroit ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (9.6) while Dallas ranks 28th (14.2).
The Mavericks average 32.6 three pointers per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The Pistons rank 22nd in three pointers allowed per game (30.5).
Detroit ranks 13th in second chance points per game (12.7) while Dallas ranks last (10.2).
The Pistons rank 14th in points off turnovers per game (16.5) while the Mavericks rank 27th (14.7).
Detroit ranks 14th in rebounds per game (43.8) while Dallas ranks 27th (41.2).
The Mavericks rank 14th in assists allowed per game (23.3) while the Pistons rank 27th (25.1).
Detroit ranks 20th in points in the paint per game (43.7) while Dallas ranks 29th (38.5).
The Pistons rank 27th in blocks per game (3.9) while the Mavericks rank 29th (3.8).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Dallas is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Detroit is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Mavericks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.2, up from 2.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 109.2 points per game (5.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 103.6 points per game (0.1 below their season average).
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