The Dallas Mavericks (46-30) and their fifth-ranked offense welcome the Golden State Warriors (62-13) and their first-ranked defense. Action begins at 8:30 pm ET on Saturday, Apr. 4 and can be seen on CSN-BA and FSN-SW.
The Mavericks are are expecting a better outcome after their 108-101 loss to the Rockets on Thursday. Dirk Nowitzki was the team’s leading scorer with 21 points. The Warriors, meanwhile, are coming off a 107-106 win against the Suns on Thursday. Stephen Curry was the game’s top scorer, registering 28 points on 10-for-22 shooting.
This showdown pits one of the league’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses, as Dallas currently ranks fifth in the NBA in offensive efficiency and Golden State is first in defensive efficiency.
The Warriors have emerged victorious in all three games against the Mavericks this year, including a 104-89 win the last time these two teams met. In the victory, Curry led all scorers with 22 points.
The odds for Dallas and Golden State are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. The Mavericks come into this game 46-30 Straight Up (SU) and 32-41-3 Against The Spread (ATS). Over their last 10 games, they have only managed a record of 3-7 ATS. Dallas is the league’s top scoring team off turnovers with an average of 19.5 points per game.
Over on the other bench, the Warriors have a record of 45-29-1 ATS and 62-13 SU. Golden State performed well ATS during its last 10 games, earning an 8-2 record. Offensively, they average 109.8 points per game, which is tops in the league. The Warriors rely heavily on three-pointers on offense, ranking second in the league with 802 made (10.7 per game). The Warriors have controlled the glass with an average of 44.7 rebounds per game, fifth in the league. The Warriors are the better of the two teams when it comes to assist-to-turnover ratio, ranking second in the NBA at 1.94. Golden State is the second-best team in the league at scoring points off turnovers with 19.5 per game.
In their previous meeting this season, Golden State beat Dallas, bumping its SU record over the last 10 meetings to 8-2. The Warriors also lead the matchup ATS with a record of 7-3. Golden State held the edge in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers four times, while Dallas was never able to do so in their most recent 10 games.
Predictions: SU Winner – GS, ATS Winner – GS
Notes
Golden State has allowed an average of 100.5 points per away game this season. Dallas averages 106.3 points per home game, placing the team fourth in scoring.
In its last game, Golden State won by a margin of one point. Dallas is 3-4 in games decided by three points or less. Golden State has a 5-2 record in close games.
The Golden State Warriors sit undefeated (40-0) in games in which their opponent scores fewer than 100 points. Conversely, the Dallas Mavericks have an underachieving 8-18 record when they don’t put up at least 100 points.
The Warriors have a 22-13 record when they allow at least 100 points. The Mavericks have also performed well when they register triple digits with a record of 38-12 in such contests.
The Mavericks have a defensive rating of 103.4 (ranked 19th), while the Warriors rank second for their offensive rating of 108.5.
The Golden State Warriors have one of the best field goal percentages this season, ranking first in the league with a FG% of 47.8%. When their opponents record a similar or higher FG%, the Dallas Mavericks have a losing 7-18 record.
On average, Dallas attempts 25.7 three pointers and Golden State attempts 27.0 per game. Both teams have winning records when they have 25 or more three point attempts. The Mavericks sit at 32-16 and the Warriors are 44-9.
The Golden State Warriors are among the best in the league with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.94 (ranked second). Ranking sixth, the Dallas Mavericks have an A/TO of 1.81.
The Golden State Warriors are one of the best rebounding teams in the league, earning 44.7 rebounds per game (ranked fifth). The Dallas Mavericks rank 24th, rebounding 42.0 times each contest.
The Golden State Warriors rank 21st in offensive rebounding, while the Dallas Mavericks rank 24th in defensive rebounding.
Though Dallas is one of the best in the league in forcing turnovers with opponents averaging a TOV% of 15.9% (ranked third), Golden State has a dazzling 14-3 record SU when its TOV% is 15.9% or greater.
