The Dallas Mavericks (16-36) look to snap their five-game losing streak when they clash with the Sacramento Kings (16-35) at Golden 1 Center. The game can be seen on NBC Sports – California at 10 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 3, 2018.
Dallas opened as a 4.5-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 202 points.
Dallas Mavericks at Sacramento Kings ATS Prediction
The last time the Mavericks played, they were beaten by the Phoenix Suns, 102-88. Phoenix’s effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Dallas. The Suns had a rate of 0.548 (above their season average of 0.496), while the Mavericks posted a mark of 0.420 (below their season average of 0.515). Dirk Nowitzki played well for Dallas, putting up 14 points and 10 rebounds.
The Kings fell to the Golden State Warriors in their last matchup, 119-104. Golden State’s 20.6 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over Sacramento, who had a mark of 12.0. The Warriors’ mark was below their season average of 21.2, while the Kings’ was below their season average of 21.6. Zach Randolph put together a solid game for Sacramento, leading the team in scoring with 18 points on 8-for-15 shooting.
Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when a pair of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams battle. Sacramento ranks 25th in possessions per game (97.2) and Dallas is 26th (97.0).
Dallas comes into the contest with records of 16-36 straight up (SU) and 25-27 against the spread (ATS). Of the Mavericks’ 52 games, 30 have finished under the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Sacramento owns records of 16-35 SU and 21-26-3 ATS. In opposition of Dallas, just over half of Kings games have finished over the projected point total.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, the Mavericks lost 93-88, unable to cover as 6-point favorites. Harrison Barnes led both teams with 24 points. The game finished with a total of 181 points, which was 21 points below the projected point total of 202 points. Sacramento had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (35.6 vs. 14.6). Dallas, meanwhile, did an excellent job of converting from the charity stripe (15-21; 71.4 percent).
Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings Free Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Dallas is 13-11 ATS on the road with 13 unders and 11 overs.
At home, Sacramento is 9-12 ATS with 12 overs and 9 unders.
Dallas is 12-10 when they allow under 100 points, while Sacramento is 10-4.
The Kings are 11-12 when they score above 100 points, while the Mavericks are 10-15.
Dallas ranks fourth in three pointers attempted per game (31.9) while Sacramento ranks 28th (22.8).
The Mavericks rank 11th in assists allowed per game (22.4) while the Kings rank 25th (24.3).
Dallas ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (13.8) while Sacramento ranks 13th (15.9).
The Kings rank 19th in points in the paint per game (43.2) while the Mavericks rank 29th (38.2).
Sacramento ranks 20th in second chance points per game (11.5) while Dallas ranks 29th (9.7).
The Kings rank 20th in rebounds allowed per game (43.8) while the Mavericks rank 27th (45.5).
Sacramento ranks sixth in steals per game (8.3) while Dallas ranks 10th in steals allowed per game (7.3).
The Kings rank 22nd in fast break points allowed per game (12.5) while the Mavericks rank 25th (13.7).
Sacramento ranks 23rd in blocks per game (4.0) while Dallas ranks 25th (3.8).
Betting Trends:
In their last five games, Dallas is 1-4 ATS with 5 unders.
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Mavericks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.8, up from 2.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 102.0 points per game (3.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 104.4 points per game (2.3 below their season average).
