The Dartmouth Big Green (6-17, 2-8 Ivy) look to put an end to their nine-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Penn Quakers (19-7, 9-1 Ivy) at Palestra. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, February 23, 2018.
Penn opened as a 12-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 138.5 points.
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Penn Quakers Free Prediction
The Big Green come in on a high note after just getting past the Brown Bears in their last matchup, 66-63. Dartmouth was 7-15 on three pointers (46.7 percent). Brown, on the other hand, was just 4-22 (18.2 percent). Dartmouth received a boost from Chris Knight, who was the game’s high scorer with 18 points on 7-for-11 shooting.
The last time the Quakers played, they defeated the Cornell Big Red, 79-71. The Quakers had a phenomenal free throw rate of 0.320 (above their season average of 0.212) and held the Big Red to an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.9 (below their season average of 25.3). With 21 points and five rebounds, AJ Brodeur had a good outing for Penn.
Points at the line could be hard to come by for Penn in this contest. The Quakers currently rank 256th in the nation with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.215, while Dartmouth ranks 56th in FTA rate allowed (0.198). Also, the Big Green’s 257th-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 102.5) will square off against the Quakers’ 16th-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 95.0).
Although Dartmouth has difficulty winning games straight up (6-17 SU), they are 9-5-2 against the spread (ATS). Big Green games have typically finished under the projected point total (68.8 percent).
Penn is 19-7 SU, but they have difficulty covering the spread (9-12 ATS). Contrary to Dartmouth, games including the Quakers have typically finished over the O/U total (61.9 percent).
Brodeur has averaged 13.4 points, 7.4 rebounds, 1.2 steals and 1.2 blocks over the last five games for Penn.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Brodeur scored a game-high 20 points and the Quakers topped the Big Green 64-61 but did not cover as 7-point favorites. He also had 10 rebounds. The game finished with a total of 125 points, which was 13.5 points below the projected point total of 138.5 points. Penn’s effective field goal percentage was its largest advantage over Dartmouth. The Quakers had a rate of 0.464 while the Big Green posted a mark of 0.328.
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Penn Quakers ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Penn, ATS Winner – Penn, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Dartmouth is 5-3-2 ATS on the road with 5 overs and 5 unders.
At home, Penn is 3-6 ATS with 4 overs, 4 unders and 1 push.
Penn ranks 47th in rebounds per game (38.4) while Dartmouth ranks 277th (32.0).
The Quakers rank 42nd in three pointers attempted per game (25.7) while the Big Green rank 207th (20.5).
Penn ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (9.7) while Dartmouth ranks 153rd (13.7).
The Quakers rank 38th in steals allowed per game (5.3) while the Big Green rank 140th (6.6).
Dartmouth ranks 44th in blocks allowed per game (2.7) while Penn ranks 56th (2.8).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Dartmouth is 4-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Penn is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Big Green have outscored opponents by an average of 0.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Dartmouth has been defeated by an average of 3.3 points.
During their last five games, the Quakers have scored an average of 73.2 points per game (2.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 67.0 points per game (1.7 below their season average).
