The Davidson Wildcats (10-7, 5-1 A10) put their five-game winning streak on the line when they go head-to-head against the Dayton Flyers (9-10, 3-4 A10) at University of Dayton Arena. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 23, 2018, and will air on CBS Sports Network.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 142.5 points with Davidson set as a 1-point favorite.
Davidson Wildcats at Dayton Flyers Betting Prediction
In the Wildcats’ last matchup, they topped the St. Bonaventure Bonnies, 83-73. Davidson’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over St. Bonaventure. The Wildcats had a rate of 0.660 (above their season average of 0.560), while the Bonnies posted a mark of 0.476. Davidson received a boost from Peyton Aldridge, who was the game’s high scorer with 25 points on 7-for-11 shooting.
The Flyers fell to the Rhode Island Rams in their last outing, 88-74. Rhode Island’s 12.3 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Dayton, who had a rate of 29.1. The Rams’ mark was better than their season average of 13.8, while the Flyers’ was above their season average of 17.9. With 32 points on 13-for-18 shooting, Josh Cunningham was the top scorer from either team.
Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when two of the nation’s slowest-paced teams battle. Dayton currently ranks 276th in possessions per game (68.0) and Davidson is 325th (66.2). Moreover, the Wildcats’ 26th-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 115.5) will battle against the Flyers’ 275th-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 106.9).
Davidson heads into the contest with records of 10-7 straight up (SU) and 8-7-1 against the spread (ATS). Games featuring the Wildcats tend to go under the projected point total (62.5 percent).
Meanwhile, Dayton is 9-10 SU and 8-11 ATS. In opposition of Davidson, Flyers games have finished over the O/U total 52.6 percent of the time.
After splitting two games last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Wildcats won the most recent contest 73-67. The Wildcats made 12 of their 13 free throws (92.3 percent) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.555 vs. 0.508).
Davidson Wildcats vs. Dayton Flyers ATS Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Davidson, ATS Winner – Davidson, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Davidson is 5-5-1 ATS with 7 unders, 3 overs and 1 push.
Dayton is 5-6 ATS at home with 7 overs and 4 unders.
Davidson ranks 11th in three pointers attempted per game (29.2) while Dayton ranks 184th in three pointers allowed per game (23.1).
The Wildcats average 17.8 assists per game, which ranks 13th in the nation. The Flyers rank 169th in assists allowed per game (14.1).
Davidson ranks 13th in steals allowed per game (4.7) while Dayton ranks 84th (6.1).
The Flyers rank 43rd in rebounds allowed per game (32.2) while the Wildcats rank 74th (33.1).
Dayton ranks 11th in blocks allowed per game (2.3) while Davidson ranks 33rd (2.6).
Betting Trends:
In their last five games, Davidson is 4-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Dayton is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Wildcats’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 19.4, up from 8.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Flyers have scored an average of 78.4 points per game (5.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 78.2 points per game (5.6 above their season average).
