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Davidson Wildcats – Dayton Flyers Preview – 01.12.2016

Atlantic 10 foes will collide when the Dayton Flyers (12-3) face the Davidson Wildcats (10-4) at University of Dayton Arena. The game begins at 8:00 pm ET on Tuesday, Jan. 12 and can be seen on CCS.

The Flyers are hoping for a better outcome after their 61-57 loss to La Salle on Saturday. Charles Cooke finished with 21 points to lead the game. The Wildcats, meanwhile, are coming off an 81-75 win against George Mason on Saturday. Jack Gibbs was the game’s top scorer, accumulating 26 points on 8-for-14 shooting.

Cooke has really been playing well as of late for the Flyers, averaging 19.8 points, 6.4 rebounds, 0.6 assists, 1.2 steals, 0.8 blocks, and 3.2 three-pointers over the last five games.

Dayton is a seven-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 154 points. The Flyers come into this game 12-3 Straight Up (SU) and 7-7 Against The Spread (ATS).

Over on the other bench, the Wildcats have a 10-4 SU record, but have struggled ATS with a 3-10 record. Davidson has been particularly bad ATS over its past 10 matchups, going 3-7. Offensively, they average 79.8 points per game on the road, which is 21st in the country. Davidson is one of the top foul-shooting teams in the nation, making .732 of their shots from the line. When it comes to making good decisions with the ball, not many are better than the Wildcats. They have one of the top assist-to-turnover ratios in the country at 1.65.

This is the first meeting of the season for the conference foes. The last time they played, Davidson came out on top, bumping its SU record to 1-0. Furthermore, Davidson leads the matchup ATS with a record of 1-0.

Predictions: SU Winner – Dayton, ATS Winner – Dayton, O/U – Over

Notes

Dayton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dayton’s last 7 games.

Dayton and Davidson both hold winning records of 2-1 against the Atlantic 10 Conference this season.

Davidson is one of the top-scoring teams on the road, averaging 79.8 points per game (ranked 21st). Dayton, on the other hand, allows 66.1 points per home game (ranked 148th).

With 68.3 possessions and 1.074 points per possession, the Dayton Flyers perform worse on both metrics than the Davidson Wildcats. Davidson averages 73.4 possessions and 1.111 points per possession.

The Davidson Wildcats average an effective field goal percentage of 52.0% this season. The Dayton Flyers have a winning 2-1 record in games where opponents have an eFG% of 52.0% or greater.

The Dayton Flyers average 20.0 three point attempts per game, and the Davidson Wildcats attempt 28.0 per game. When going for at least 20 three pointers in a game this season, both teams have winning records; Dayton is 9-1 and Davidson is 10-4.

The Davidson Wildcats rank 12th with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.65, while the Dayton Flyers rank outside the top 100 at 162nd with an A/TO of 1.08.

Davidson ranks 309th in offensive rebounds, while Dayton ranks at 92nd in defensive rebounds.

Opponents have had an average turnover percentage of 19.3% when playing Dayton this season. Davidson is undefeated (1-0) when its TO% is 19.3% or higher.

Written by GMS Previews

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