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Davidson Wildcats – Fordham Rams Preview – 02.27.2016

The Davidson Wildcats will be at Rose Hill Gym to challenge the Fordham Rams in an Atlantic 10 matchup. The game begins at 2:00 pm ET on Saturday, Feb. 27.

The Rams come into this game on a high note after just getting past La Salle 56-53 on Wednesday. Christian Sengfelder led all scorers on the team with 16 points on 5-for-11 shooting.

Based on each team’s statistical profile, the turnover story could loom large in this showdown. Davidson commits the fourth-fewest errors in the nation (TO% of 14.4%), while the gambling defense of Fordham causes the eighth-most (opponents’ TO% of 23.2%).

The Rams come into this game 14-12 Straight Up (SU) and 7-10-2 Against The Spread (ATS). The Rams have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 78.1 points during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 71.2 points per game. The Fordham defense has done poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 75.8 points per game, well above their season average of 68.3.

Over on the other bench, the Wildcats have been a poor bet so far, with a disappointing record of 9-15-1 ATS. Their SU record, 17-9, hasn’t been quite as bad. The Wildcats will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In their most recent 10 games, their scoring has dropped to 66.3 PPG, compared to 71.2 for the duration of the season. The Wildcats convert their free throws at a high percentage, ranking 17th in the nation at .755. The Wildcats are the better of the two teams when it comes to assist-to-turnover ratio, ranking 12th in Division I at 1.51. The Wildcats average 77.9 points allowed per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 70.1 points per game during that span.

The conference foes will be facing off in their first head-to-head contest of the season. When they last met the Wildcats were winners, bumping their SU record to 1-0. Furthermore, Davidson leads the matchup ATS with a record of 1-0.

Predictions: SU Winner – Ford, ATS Winner – Ford

Notes

“Fordham is 4-8-2 ATS in its last 14 games “.

“Fordham is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games “.

“Fordham is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home”.

“Fordham is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home”.

“Fordham is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home”.

The Fordham Rams currently sit below 0.500 against the Atlantic 10 Conference at 5-10 SU, while the Davidson Wildcats have a 9-6 SU record.

Fordham has allowed an average of 65.5 points per home game this season. Davidson averages 77.9 points per away game, ranking 23rd in scoring.

Davidson beats Fordham in both possessions per game and points per possession. The Wildcats average 71.3 possessions and 1.124 points per possession, while the Rams average 69.0 possessions with 1.032 points per possession.

Davidson has an average effective field goal percentage of 52.5%. Fordham is an abysmal 1-8 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.

The Fordham Rams average 22.0 three point attempts per game and are 11-9 when attempting at least 20 in a game. The Davidson Wildcats average 27.0 attempts and have a solid record (17-8) when attempting 20 or more.

The 12th-ranked team in the category, Davidson has an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.51 this season. Fordham ranks lower at 156th with an A/TO of 1.09.

Making 8.5 steals per game, Fordham is ranked 11th in the country. Davidson has an outstanding 5-1 record when it gives up at least 8 steals.

Written by GMS Previews

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