It will be a battle between A10 opponents when the Saint Joseph’s Hawks (7-9, 2-3 A10) welcome the Dayton Flyers (9-8, 3-2 A10) to Michael J. Hagan ’85 Arena. The game starts at 6:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 17, 2018, and will air on CBS Sports Network.
Saint Joseph’s is a 1-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 151.5 points.
Dayton Flyers vs. Saint Joseph’s Hawks Betting Prediction
The Flyers will be hoping for similar success after dismantling the VCU Rams in their last matchup, 106-79. The Flyers, who came into the game averaging an effective field goal percentage of 0.545, had an extraordinary mark of 0.766 and had a turnover percentage of 13.9 (better than their season average of 18.4). Dayton received a boost from Darrell Davis, who was the top scorer from either team with 28 points on 9-for-10 shooting.
The last time the Hawks played, they lost a tough one against the Massachusetts Minutemen, 72-69. Massachusetts’ 0.582 effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Saint Joseph’s, who had a rate of 0.468. The Minutemen’s mark was above their season average of 0.527. Saint Joseph’s’ James Demery had a solid game, leading the team in scoring with 22 points on 8-for-14 shooting.
Contrasting tempos will be on display in this contest. Saint Joseph’s prefers to play quickly (68th in possessions per game), while Dayton is methodical (289th in possessions per game). Additionally, the Flyers’ 35th-ranked offense (effective field goal percentage of 0.560) will go head-to-head against the Hawks’ 252nd-ranked defense (effective field goal percentage allowed of 0.520).
Dayton comes into the contest with records of 9-8 straight up (SU) and 8-9 against the spread (ATS). Games including the Flyers have finished over the O/U total 52.9 percent of the time.
Meanwhile, Saint Joseph’s is 7-9 SU and 6-8 ATS. Of the Hawks’ 14 games with betting action, 10 have finished over the total.
Shavar Newkirk has averaged 19.0 points, 5.6 rebounds, 3.6 assists and 2.0 steals over the last five games for Saint Joseph’s.
After the Flyers won the lone game against the Hawks last season, 77-70, these teams will meet for the first time this year. The Flyers had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (35.3 vs. 26.5) and had a better free throw rate (0.250 vs. 0.207).
Dayton Flyers vs. Saint Joseph’s Hawks ATS Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Dayton, ATS Winner – Dayton, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Dayton is 3-4 ATS on the road with 4 unders and 3 overs.
At home, Saint Joseph’s is 3-1 ATS with 2 overs and 2 unders.
Dayton ranks 40th in rebounds allowed per game (31.9) while Saint Joseph’s ranks 267th (40.1).
The Flyers average 24.7 three pointers per game, which ranks 62nd in the nation. The Hawks rank 247th in three pointers allowed per game (26.7).
Dayton averages 16.0 assists per game, which ranks 53rd in the NCAA. Saint Joseph’s ranks 207th in assists allowed per game (15.5).
The Flyers rank 26th in blocks allowed per game (2.5) while the Hawks rank 123rd (4.0).
Saint Joseph’s ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (4.3) while Dayton ranks 93rd (6.1).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Dayton is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Saint Joseph’s is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games.
The Flyers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.6, up from 2.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 76.8 points per game (1.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 76.4 points per game (0.0 above their season average).
