The Atlantic 10’s top team will be on the road when the Dayton Flyers (14-3) head to Reilly Center to face the St. Bonaventure Bonnies (12-4). Action begins at 7:00 pm ET on Tuesday, Jan. 19.
The Bonnies are hoping to rebound after their 95-88 loss to Duquesne on Saturday. Jaylen Adams was the team’s leading scorer with 22 points. The Flyers, meanwhile, are coming off a 77-70 win against George Washington on Friday. Dyshawn Pierre led the game in scoring by registering 26 points on 7-for-11 shooting.
Denzel Gregg and Marcus Posley have been better than usual over the last five games for the Bonnies. During that stretch, Gregg has averaged 15.6 points, 4.8 rebounds, 1.0 assist, 1.0 steal, 1.4 blocks, and 1.4 three-pointers, while Posley has recorded 19.2 points, 3.0 rebounds, 3.8 assists, 1.0 steal, and 2.0 three-pointers a game.
Dayton is a slim two-point favorite over St. Bonaventure. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of 143 points. The Bonnies have gone 12-4 Straight Up (SU) and 8-4 Against The Spread (ATS). Over their last 10 games, they have had success covering the spread (6-2). The Bonnies are one of the best in Division I in terms of free throw percentage, shooting an impressive .774 from the free throw line. St. Bonaventure’s three-point defense can be considered one of the best in the nation, allowing just 6.0 three-pointers per game.
Over on the other bench, the Flyers have records of 8-8 ATS and 14-3 SU. The Flyers allow just 62 points per road game, ranking them sixth in the nation.
These conference foes will be squaring off for the first time this season. In their most recent meeting a season ago, Dayton came out on top, bumping its SU record over their most recent meetings to 9-1. The teams are even ATS, with a 5-5 record. Dayton held the advantage in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers once in the last five matchups. On the other side of the court, St. Bonaventure never accomplished this feat in that span.
Predictions: SU Winner – StBon, ATS Winner – StBon, O/U – Over
Notes
St. Bonaventure is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Bonaventure’s last 6 games.
St. Bonaventure is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.
St. Bonaventure is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dayton.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Bonaventure’s last 10 games when playing Dayton.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Bonaventure’s last 5 games when playing at home against Dayton.
The St. Bonaventure Bonnies average 77.4 points per game, ranking 93rd in the nation. The Dayton Flyers rank 60th in points allowed with 66.1.
The St. Bonaventure Bonnies rank 56th for their offensive rating of 112.5. The Dayton Flyers have a defensive rating of 97.3 (ranked 74th).
St. Bonaventure has an average field goal percentage of 44.5%. Dayton is a winning 3-1 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
The St. Bonaventure Bonnies rank lower for their field goal percentage (150th) than they do for their effective field goal percentage (121st), but the Dayton Flyers have a better FG% ranking (78th) than eFG% ranking (82nd).
Dayton ranks 82nd in assists, recording 15.2 per game. St. Bonaventure performs worse at 107th with 14.7 assists per game.
Dayton, the 69th-ranked team in blocked shots, registers an average of 4.6 per game. St. Bonaventure does worse, ranked 140th with 3.8.
On average, St. Bonaventure makes 6.4 steals per game. Dayton has a winning 4-1 record when it gives up at least 6 steals.
