The No. 21 Vanderbilt Commodores (6-2) square off against the Dayton Flyers (6-1) at Memorial Gym. Action gets underway at 9:00 pm ET on Wednesday, Dec. 9 and will air on ESU and ES3.
The Commodores lost a close one to Baylor 69-67 on Sunday. Wade Baldwin IV was the team’s high scorer with 19 points. The Flyers, meanwhile, are coming off an 86-71 win against North Florida on Saturday. Charles Cooke led the game in scoring by posting 24 points on 8-for-15 shooting.
Vanderbilt is an eight-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is 139 points. The Commodores enter the game with records of 6-2 Straight Up (SU) and 5-1 Against The Spread (ATS). The Commodores have no trouble scoring as they rank 37th in the nation in offense with 83.4 points per game. Vanderbilt is excellent from the perimeter, shooting a stellar .403 from three-point range. Vanderbilt is one of the most disciplined teams in the nation with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.49. Turning to the defensive side, teams routinely struggle to score points against the Commodores, who allow only 60.6 points per game. Teams really have to fight for three-pointers against the Commodores, who have allowed only 5.0 three-pointers to opponents per game. An area where the Commodores are particularly strong is shot blocking, where they average 6.6 blocks per game, sixth in Division I.
On the other side, the Flyers have 6-1 SU and 3-3 ATS records.
Vanderbilt and Dayton have not played one another in a regular season matchup in recent years.
Predictions: SU Winner – Vandy, ATS Winner – Vandy, O/U – Under
Notes
Vanderbilt is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt’s last 5 games.
Vanderbilt is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.
Dayton scores an average of just 76.4 points per game (ranked 132nd). Vanderbilt ranks 19th in points allowed, giving up 60.6 points per game.
The Vanderbilt Commodores have a defensive rating of 86.6 (ranked 11th), while the Dayton Flyers have an offensive rating of 107.0 (ranked 150th).
Vanderbilt has the 25th-ranked average field goal percentage at 49.3%. Dayton has not won a game this season when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage (0-1).
Vanderbilt attempts an average of 22.0 three pointers per game and Dayton attempts 18.0 on average. When the teams attempt at least 20 three pointers, the Vanderbilt Commodores have a 3-2 record while the Dayton Flyers are undefeated (4-0).
Vanderbilt ranks 31st in the nation with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.49. Dayton is ranked lower at 216th with an A/TO of .97.
Vanderbilt ranks 59th in rebounds per game with 41.1 and Dayton ranks 64th with 40.9 rebounds per game.
Dayton ranks 211th in offensive rebounds, while Vanderbilt ranks at 15th in defensive rebounds.
On average, Vanderbilt forces a turnover rate of 18.3%. When Dayton turns over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has a winning 4-1 record.
