The Denver Broncos (+1) are making a trip east to take on the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium. This early afternoon matchup starts at 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS is scheduled to televise the action.
Denver Broncos vs. New York Jets Betting Preview
In this Sunday AFC matchup, New York has been projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 1 point. The Broncos are also receiving -105 moneyline odds while the Jets are -115. There might be some solid in-game betting possibilities in this matchup, and oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 43.5 points.
The original odds have shifted, as the line opened at 0. The game’s over/under has not moved after it was set initially at 43.5.
The Broncos are 0-2-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 1.0 unit so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 1-2. The Jets have lost 1.2 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 1-3 ATS and have an even O/U record of 2-2.
The Broncos are 2-2 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Jets are 1-3 SU.
The Broncos are most-recently on the rebound after a 27-23 defeat to Kansas City in Week 4. Case Keenum completed 21 passes for 245 yards and one interception. Phillip Lindsay (69 yards on 12 rushes, one TD) and Royce Freeman (67 yards on eight carries, one TD) led the ground attack while Emmanuel Sanders (five receptions, 45 yards) and Jeff Heuerman (four catches, 57 yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.
New York just fell 31-12 to Jacksonville in Week 4. The defensive unit allowed the Jaguars to pass for 388 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 126 yards. Dede Westbrook had a good outing in the win, posting 130 yards and a score on nine catches for Jacksonville. For New York, Sam Darnold completed 17-of-34 passes for 167 yards and one touchdown. Bilal Powell (26 rushing yards on eight attempts) spearheaded the running game while Quincy Enunwa (four receptions, 66 yards) and Powell (four catches, 26 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Each of these squads sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Denver’s run the ball on 42.9 percent of its offensive possessions while New York has an overall rush percentage of 43.8. The Broncos have run for 148 yards/game and have six touchdowns on the ground this year. The Jets are putting up 88 rush yards per game and have four total rushing TDs.
The Broncos offensive scheme has averaged 247 yards through the air overall and has three passing TDs so far. The Jets have put up 217 pass yards per outing and have four total pass scores.
Denver has let opponents run for an average of 94 yards and throw for 292 yards per game. The New York defense has allowed 269.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 108.3 yards per game on the ground. The Jets are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.12 to opponents, while the Broncos have allowed a 7.01 ANY/A.
Offensively, Keenum has amassed 796 passing yards on the year, and has completed 61 percent of his 107 attempts with three scores through the air and five interceptions. He has a 5.33 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 4.18 over the last two games.
The Broncos have tried to maintain tempo by pounding the defense with their running backs. In addition to wideout Emmanuel Sanders (276 receiving yards and one touchdown), Royce Freeman (166 rush yards, two rush TDs) and Phillip Lindsay (247 rush yards, one rush TD, one receiving TD) have been focal points in the Denver offensive scheme.
In the home locker room, Sam Darnold has connected on 58-of-96 passes for 699 yards, four TDs and three INTs. Darnold’s ANY/A stands at 5.66 for the year and 3.36 over his past two outings.
The Jets should also look to control the clock by turning to their backfield. In addition to Bilal Powell (105 receiving yards, one receiving TD), Quincy Enunwa (zero rush yards, 221 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Jermaine Kearse (zero rush yards, 22 receiving yards) have gotten a lot of touches lately.
When these two franchises met last year, Denver knocked off New York handily 23-0.
RELATED: Week 5 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions
NFL Prediction: Broncos vs. Jets
SU Winner – Jets, ATS Winner – Jets, O/U – Over
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
Each team defense has produced 10 sacks this season.
The New York offense has lost three fumbles this season while Denver has yet to lose any.
Each team has produced two pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Broncos have have made five pass plays of 30+ yards while the Jets have accounted for two such plays.
The Denver defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 yards or more, while New York has given up one such play.
Both defenses have produced two rushing plays of 20 yards or more. The Denver offense has recorded 20 running plays of 10+ yards while New York has accounted for nine such plays.
The Broncos defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Jets have given up five such runs.
New York was favored by 7 points in its previous game and the O/U was 40.5. The over cashed and New York failed to cover in the 31-12 defeat to Jacksonville.
Over its last three matchups, New York is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Over its last three matches, Denver is 0-2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Denver was favored by 6 points in its last game and the O/U going into it was 46.5. The over cashed and Denver failed to cover in the 27-23 defeat to Kansas City.
Denver has averaged 6.04054054054054 yards per rush attempt over its last three outings and 6.1 over its last two.
New York has averaged 2.9 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 3.2 over its past two.
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