The Denver Nuggets will travel to the American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks. Action begins at 8:30 pm ET on Friday, Feb. 26 and can be seen on FSW and ALT.
The Mavericks are hoping for a better outcome after their 116-103 loss to the Thunder on Wednesday. Dirk Nowitzki finished with 33 points to lead the game. The Nuggets, meanwhile, are coming off an 87-81 win over the Clippers on Wednesday. Kenneth Faried claimed his 14th double-double of the season with 21 points and 11 rebounds.
Chandler Parsons and Deron Williams have played well over the last five games for the Mavericks. During that stretch, Parsons has averaged 19.0 points, 4.0 rebounds, 2.6 assists, 1.2 steals, 1.0 block, and 2.8 three-pointers, while Williams has recorded 19.8 points, 2.8 rebounds, 7.4 assists, 0.6 steals, and 2.4 three-pointers a game.
This will be the second matchup of the season between these two teams. The Mavericks won the first game 92-81. Deron Williams was the game’s leading scorer with 22 points.
The Mavericks are looking to build on their records of 30-28 Straight Up (SU) and 31-26-1 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 30-28 SU and 31-26-1 ATS against the Western Conference. Dallas is very careful and attentive with the ball, averaging the fewest turnovers per game at only 12.3.
As for their opponent, the Nuggets have 23-35 SU and 31-24-3 ATS records. Denver has records of 23-35 SU and 31-24-3 ATS against the West.
With the Mavericks’ last win against Denver, they evened up the head-to-head record over the last 10 meetings, 5-5 SU. On the other hand, the Mavericks lead the matchup ATS with a record of 6-3-1.
Predictions: SU Winner – Dal
Notes
On average, Denver scores 100.6 points per game (ranked 20th), while Dallas gives up 102.1 points per game (ranked 15th).
Denver ranks 19th in points per away game with 98.7 points, while Dallas ranks 14th in points allowed at home with 100.5.
When giving up fewer than 100 points, the Denver Nuggets have a 10-12 record. When scoring fewer than 100 points, the Dallas Mavericks have a subpar record of 9-18.
The Denver Nuggets have an underachieving 13-23 record in games where they have allowed at least 100 points. The Dallas Mavericks are 21-10 when they hit the century mark.
The Nuggets have an offensive rating of 102.2 (ranked 23rd), while the Mavericks rank 17th for their defensive rating of 104.2.
Dallas has an average field goal percentage of 43.9%. Denver is a losing 11-27 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
On average, the Dallas Mavericks attempt 28.0 three point field goals per game and the Denver Nuggets attempt 23.0 per game. In games where they attempt at least 25 threes, Dallas is an even 21-21, while Denver has a losing record of 9-14.
The Dallas Mavericks, with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.74, rank seventh in the NBA. The Denver Nuggets have a lower A/TO (1.56), ranking 17th.
The Mavericks rank 18th in rebounds per game with 43.0, while the Nuggets rank ninth with 44.6 per game.
Dallas ranks in the top half of the NBA in defensive rebounding at ninth, while Denver ranks near the top of the league (fifth) in offensive rebounding.
Denver has forced an average turnover rate of 13.9% this season. In games where their turnover rate is 13.9% or higher, Dallas is an even 12-12.
