The New Orleans Pelicans (1-9) take on the visiting Denver Nuggets (5-5) at the Smoothie King Center. The game starts at 8:00 pm ET on Tuesday, Nov. 17 and will air on ALT and FSN.
The Pelicans were beaten by the Knicks 95-87 on Sunday. Anthony Davis played well in the loss for New Orleans, recording 36 points and 11 rebounds to earn his fourth double-double of the season. The Nuggets, meanwhile, are coming off an ugly 105-81 loss to the Suns on Saturday. Will Barton had a solid game, accumulating his first double-double of the season with 19 points and 12 rebounds.
The Pelicans, a five-point favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Denver. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is 204 points. The Pelicans enter the game with records of 1-9 Straight Up (SU) and 2-8 Against The Spread (ATS). They have the same record SU and ATS against the Western Conference, going 1-4. The Pelicans come into the game with the league’s second-ranked home scoring offense, averaging 112.2 points per game on their own court.
On the other side, Denver has identical records of 5-5 SU and ATS so far. In Western Conference games, Denver has gone 4-5 SU and 5-4 ATS.
The Pelicans and the Nuggets will be facing off in their first head-to-head contest of the season. When they last met the Nuggets were winners, moving their SU record against the Pelicans to 6-4 in their last 10 head-to-head meetings. The Nuggets also hold the advantage ATS with a record of 6-4.
Predictions: SU Winner – Den, ATS Winner – Den, O/U – Over
Notes
New Orleans is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans’s last 5 games.
New Orleans is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games.
New Orleans is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home.
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans’s last 7 games at home.
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver.
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of New Orleans’s last 15 games when playing at home against Denver.
New Orleans ranks 19th in points per game with 100.2, while Denver ranks 20th in points allowed with an average of 103.0 given up.
Denver ranks 14th in points allowed per road game (107.0 PPG), while New Orleans ranks second in points per home game with 112.2.
In its last game, Denver lost by a 24-point margin. New Orleans is 0-2 in games decided by a margin of 18 points or more. Denver has a 1-2 record in blowouts.
The Denver Nuggets have a split 2-2 record when they limit their opponents to fewer than 100 points. The New Orleans Pelicans have a winless 0-7 record this season when they score less than 100.
The Denver Nuggets are an even 3-3 when they can’t keep their opponents to fewer than 100 points. The New Orleans Pelicans have a losing record of 1-2 this season when they reach triple digits.
The Pelicans have a defensive rating of 109.4 (ranked 30th), while the Nuggets rank 22nd for their offensive rating of 99.2.
New Orleans has an average field goal percentage of 43.5%. Denver is a losing 1-4 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
On average, the New Orleans Pelicans attempt 27.0 three point field goals per game and the Denver Nuggets attempt 24.0 per game. In games where they attempt at least 25 threes, both teams have losing records; New Orleans is 1-5 and Denver is 1-3.
New Orleans has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.48 this season (ranked 12th), while Denver ranks lower at 17th with an A/TO of 1.43.
New Orleans ranks 27th in rebounds per game with 40.2, while Denver ranks 16th with 44.3 per game.
The Denver Nuggets rank 10th in offensive rebounding, while the New Orleans Pelicans rank 26th in defensive rebounding.
Ranked ninth, Denver averages a forced turnover percentage of 15.8% this season. When the Pelicans suffer a turnover rate equal to or exceeding this, the team is winless with a 0-3 record.
