The Detroit Lions (-2.5) are heading south to battle the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium. Kickoff for this game is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and spectators can view the action live on FOX.
Detroit Lions vs. Miami Dolphins Betting Preview
In this Sunday game, Detroit is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 2.5 points. The Lions are also receiving -140 moneyline odds while the Dolphins are +120. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 47 points. Multiple decent live betting scenarios might exist during this contest.
The Lions are down 1.5 units so far and 4-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has recorded an O/U mark of 4-1. The surprising Dolphins are up 3.6 units this season. They’re 4-2 ATS and own an even O/U record of 3-3.
The Lions are 2-3 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Dolphins are 4-2 SU.
The Lions just got a 31-23 win over Green Bay on October 7 where Matthew Stafford completed just 14-of-26 passes for 183 yards and two touchdowns. Kerryon Johnson (70 yards on 12 rush attempts) and LeGarrette Blount (22 yards on 12 carries, two TDs) led the running attack while Golden Tate (five receptions, 42 yards) and Kenny Golladay (four catches, 98 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the win.
Miami takes the field on Sunday having just earned a 31-28 win over Chicago in Week 6. Brock Osweiler completed 28-of-44 passes for 380 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. Frank Gore (101 yards on 15 rush attempts) and Kenyan Drake (57 yards on 13 carries) handled the running game while Danny Amendola (eight receptions, 59 yards) and Albert Wilson (six catches, 155 yards, two TDs) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Detroit has run the ball on 36.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Miami has a rush percentage of 44.8 percent. The Lions have produced 97 rush yards/game and have three scores on the ground this year. The Dolphins are totaling 107 rushing yards per game and have just one rush TD.
It appears that the Dolphins may hold an advantage in terms of RB efficiency, as their backfield has produced 4.4 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 4.0 YPC to opponents. The Lions have tallied 4.3 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 5.3 to opponents.
The Lions offense has averaged 280 yards through the air overall and has 10 passing TDs so far. The Dolphins have recorded 240 pass yards per contest and have 13 total pass score.
Defensively, Detroit appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 146 yards and pass for 247 yards per game. The Miami defense has allowed 289.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 118.2 yards per game on the ground. The Dolphins are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.05 to opponents, while the Lions have given up a 7.22 ANY/A.
Offensively, Stafford is up to 1,078 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 63 percent of his 161 attempts with eight passing scores and five interceptions. Stafford has a 5.84 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 8.65 over the past two games.
Golden Tate, Kenny Golladay and Kerryon Johnson have collectively accounted for 487 total yards and four touchdowns as a trio over the last two outings.
For the home team, Brock Osweiler has managed to complete 32-of-49 passes for 415 yards, four TDs and two INTs. Osweiler’s ANY/A stands at 8.27 for the season and 7.95 over his last two outings.
We expect the Dolphins to control tempo by feeding the running backs early and often. Along with WR Albert Wilson (316 receiving yards, four receiving TDs this season), Kenyan Drake (164 rush yards, one rush TD, 76 receiving yards) and Frank Gore (240 rush yards, one TD) have delivered significant production to the Dolphins’ recent offensive strategies.
RELATED: Week 7 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions
NFL Prediction: Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins
SU Winner – Dolphins, ATS Winner – Dolphins, O/U – Under
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Notes
Team Betting Notes
Detroit has rushed for 4.3 yards per attempt across its last three games and 4.0 over its last two.
Miami has averaged 4.9 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.5 over its past two.
The Miami offense has lost five fumbles this season while Detroit has lost one.
The Lions offense has tallied three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Dolphins have put up five such plays.
The Detroit defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Miami has given up seven such plays.
The Detroit offense has created three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Miami has created five such runs.
The Lions defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Dolphins have given up six such runs.
The Detroit defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 17 times this year. Miami has registered just 10 sacks.
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